Tuesday, January 5, 2016

SUPER BOWL V: Dallas Cowboys 13 vs. Baltimore Colts 16

Sunday, January 17,1971


1234Final
Dallas Cowboys (10-4-0)3100013
Baltimore Colts (11-2-1)0601016

Game Info
Stadium Orange Bowl
Start Time (ET) 1:50pm
Roof outdoors
Surface astroturf
Weather 59 degrees relative humidity 60%, wind 11 mph
Vegas Line Baltimore Colts -2.5
Over/Under 36.0 (under)
Super Bowl MVP Chuck Howley


Win Probability

Pro-Football-Reference.com Win Probability - Dallas Cowboys vs. Indianapolis Colts, 1/17/1971Q1Q2Q3Q4EOGDAL0.50CLT+22.3%+22.3%+36.8%+36.8%-20.9%-20.9%+52.9%+52.9%
Play IDWin Pct
10.558
20.566
30.562
40.609
50.592
60.592
70.551
80.53
90.529
100.545
110.554
120.598
130.632
140.492
150.5
160.521
170.623
180.587
190.407
200.406
210.447
220.473
230.472
240.514
250.496
260.503
270.454
280.459
290.449
300.433
310.437
320.397
330.28
340.304
350.337
360.395
370.362
380.381
390.363
400.34
410.563
420.554
430.585
440.608
450.638
460.613
470.602
480.58
490.566
500.53
510.522
520.531
530.555
540.598
550.609
560.573
570.553
580.528
590.425
600.424
610.356
620.308
630.356
640.385
650.404
660.412
670.308
680.314
690.311
700.27
710.264
720.334
730.302
740.37
750.364
760.429
770.407
780.544
790.502
800.47
810.399
820.288
830.274
840.165
850.154
860.135
870.139
880.126
890.083
900.243
910.231
920.225
930.24
940.22
950.304
960.312
970.296
980.326
990.301
1000.296
1010.236
1020.234
1030.24
1040.254
1050.313
1060.266
1070.244
1080.407
1090.396
1100.355
1110.162
1120.12
1130.132
1140.137
1150.167
1160.153
1170.129
1180.103
1190.178
1200.248
1210.215
1220.19
1230.261
1240.297
1250.101
1260.101
1270.121
1280.489
1290.425
1300.527
1310.421
1320.453
1330.332
1340.37
1350.425
1360.495
1370.48
1380.464
1390.414
1400.205
1410.179
1420.249
1430.778
1440.974
1450.974
1460.981
1471
1480.982
1491
Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring


Team Stats


Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense

Kick/Punt Returns

Kicking & Punting


Starting Lineups


Full Play-By-Play

Play Times Note  · Glossary  · SHARE  · Embed  · CSV  · Export  · PRE  · LINK  · ?
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DAL CLT EPB EPA Win%

1st Quarter
1 15:00


Jim O'Brien kicks off 50 yards, returned by Calvin Hill for 14 yards 0 0 0 0.54 55.8
1 14:42 1 10 DAL 24 Walt Garrison for 2 yards 0 0 0.54 0.27 56.6
1 14:12 2 8 DAL 26 Craig Morton pass complete to Duane Thomas for 6 yards 0 0 0.27 0.37 56.2
1 13:42 3 2 DAL 32 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Bob Hayes 0 0 0.37 -1.24 60.9
1 13:12 4 2 DAL 32 Ron Widby punts 42 yards 0 0 -1.24 -0.67 59.2
1 12:40 1 10 CLT 26 Norm Bulaich for 4 yards 0 0 0.67 0.67 59.2
1 12:12 2 6 CLT 30 Norm Bulaich for -5 yards 0 0 0.67 -0.69 55.1
1 11:44 3 11 CLT 25 Johnny Unitas pass complete to John Mackey for 5 yards 0 0 -0.69 -1.37 53.0
1 11:16 4 6 CLT 30 David Lee punts 35 yards 0 0 -1.37 -1.4 52.9
1 10:46 1 10 DAL 37 Duane Thomas for no gain 0 0 1.4 0.86 54.5
1 10:21 2 10 DAL 37 Duane Thomas for 3 yards 0 0 0.86 0.56 55.4
1 9:56 3 7 DAL 40 Craig Morton sacked for -3 yards 0 0 0.56 -0.91 59.8
1 9:31 4 10 DAL 37 Ron Widby punts 39 yards 0 0 -0.91 -2.06 63.2
1 9:05 1 10 CLT 47 Johnny Unitas pass incomplete intended for Norm Bulaich is intercepted by Chuck Howley 0 0 2.06 -2.52 49.2
1 8:53 1 10 CLT 46 Duane Thomas for 2 yards 0 0 2.52 2.25 50.0
1 8:31 2 8 CLT 44 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Walt Garrison 0 0 2.25 1.55 52.1
1 8:09 3 8 CLT 44 0 0 1.55 -1.75 62.3
1 7:47 3 33 DAL 31 Walt Garrison for 11 yards 0 0 -1.75 -0.59 58.7
1 7:25 4 22 DAL 42 Ron Widby punts 48 yards. Ron Gardin fumbles, recovered by Cliff Harris 0 0 -0.59 5.14 40.7
1 7:03 1 9 CLT 9 Duane Thomas for 4 yards 0 0 5.14 5.15 40.6
1 6:41 2 5 CLT 5 Duane Thomas for -2 yards 0 0 5.15 3.81 44.7
1 6:19 3 7 CLT 7 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Reggie Rucker 0 0 3.81 2.97 47.3
1 5:57 4 7 CLT 7 Mike Clark 14 yard field goal good 3 0 2.97 3 47.2
1 5:32


Mike Clark kicks off 45 yards, returned by Jim Duncan for 21 yards 3 0 0 1.33 51.4
1 5:10 1 10 CLT 36 Norm Bulaich for no gain 3 0 1.33 0.79 49.6
1 4:39 2 10 CLT 36 Tom Nowatzke for 7 yards 3 0 0.79 1.03 50.3
1 4:08 3 3 CLT 43 Norm Bulaich for 1 yard 3 0 1.03 -0.46 45.4
1 3:37 4 2 CLT 44 David Lee punts 56 yards, touchback 3 0 -0.46 -0.28 45.9
1 3:04 1 10 DAL 20 Walt Garrison for 6 yards 3 0 0.28 0.54 44.9
1 2:38 2 4 DAL 26 Walt Garrison for 5 yards 3 0 0.54 1 43.3
1 2:12 1 10 DAL 31 Duane Thomas for 3 yards 3 0 1 0.87 43.7
1 1:46 2 7 DAL 34 Craig Morton pass complete to Dan Reeves for 13 yards 3 0 0.87 2.06 39.7
1 1:20 1 10 DAL 47 Craig Morton pass complete to Bob Hayes for 41 yards 3 0 2.06 5.83 28.0
1 0:54 1 6 CLT 6 Craig Morton pass incomplete 3 0 5.83 4.95 30.4
1 0:28 2 6 CLT 6 Duane Thomas for -1 yards 3 0 4.95 3.81 33.7
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DAL CLT EPB EPA Win%

2nd Quarter
2 15:00 3 7 CLT 7 Craig Morton pass incomplete 3 0 3.81 1.99 39.5
2 14:56 4 22 CLT 22 Mike Clark 30 yard field goal good 6 0 1.99 3 36.2
2 14:52


Mike Clark kicks off 57 yards, returned by Jim Duncan for 22 yards 6 0 0 0.61 38.1
2 14:35 1 10 CLT 25 Johnny Unitas pass incomplete intended for Eddie Hinton 6 0 0.61 0.06 36.3
2 14:27 2 10 CLT 25 Johnny Unitas pass incomplete intended for Roy Jefferson 6 0 0.06 -0.62 34.0
2 14:19 3 10 CLT 25 Johnny Unitas pass complete to John Mackey for 75 yards, touchdown 6 6 -0.62 7 56.3
2 14:10


Jim O'Brien kicks off 60 yards, touchback 6 6 0 0.28 55.4
2 14:02 1 10 DAL 20 Duane Thomas for -2 yards 6 6 0.28 -0.63 58.5
2 13:48 2 12 DAL 18 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Mike Ditka 6 6 -0.63 -1.33 60.8
2 13:34 3 12 DAL 18 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Walt Garrison 6 6 -1.33 -2.24 63.8
2 13:20 4 12 DAL 18 Ron Widby punts 44 yards 6 6 -2.24 -1.47 61.3
2 13:06 1 10 CLT 38 6 6 1.47 1.14 60.2
2 12:49 1 15 CLT 33 Norm Bulaich for 2 yards 6 6 1.14 0.52 58.0
2 12:32 2 13 CLT 35 Norm Bulaich for 2 yards 6 6 0.52 0.1 56.6
2 12:15 3 11 CLT 37 Johnny Unitas pass incomplete intended for Eddie Hinton 6 6 0.1 -0.91 53.0
2 11:58 4 11 CLT 37 David Lee punts 37 yards 6 6 -0.91 -1.14 52.2
2 11:38 1 10 DAL 33 Duane Thomas for 2 yards 6 6 1.14 0.86 53.1
2 11:20 2 8 DAL 35 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Bob Hayes 6 6 0.86 0.17 55.5
2 11:02 3 8 DAL 35 Craig Morton pass complete to Dan Reeves for no gain 6 6 0.17 -1.04 59.8
2 10:44 4 8 DAL 35 6 6 -1.04 -1.37 60.9
2 10:26 4 13 DAL 30 Ron Widby punts 49 yards 6 6 -1.37 -0.34 57.3
2 10:08 1 10 CLT 21 Johnny Unitas pass incomplete intended for Norm Bulaich 6 6 0.34 -0.2 55.3
2 9:46 2 10 CLT 21 Norm Bulaich for no gain 6 6 -0.2 -0.89 52.8
2 9:24 3 10 CLT 21 Johnny Unitas for 4 yards. Johnny Unitas fumbles, recovered by Jethro Pugh 6 6 -0.89 -3.71 42.5
2 9:00 1 10 CLT 28 Duane Thomas for 4 yards 6 6 3.71 3.71 42.4
2 8:38 2 6 CLT 24 Craig Morton pass complete to Dan Reeves for 17 yards 6 6 3.71 5.6 35.6
2 8:16 1 7 CLT 7 Craig Morton pass complete to Duane Thomas for 7 yards, touchdown 13 6 5.6 7 30.8
2 7:53


Mike Clark kicks off 52 yards, returned by Jim Duncan for 30 yards 13 6 0 1.47 35.6
2 7:34 1 10 CLT 38 13 6 1.47 2.32 38.5
2 7:13 1 10 DAL 49 Johnny Unitas pass complete to Roy Jefferson for 8 yards 13 6 2.32 2.86 40.4
2 6:52 2 2 DAL 41 Norm Bulaich for 4 yards 13 6 2.86 3.12 41.2
2 6:31 1 10 DAL 37 Johnny Unitas pass incomplete intended for Eddie Hinton is intercepted by Mel Renfro 13 6 3.12 0.22 30.8
2 6:07 1 10 DAL 15 Duane Thomas for 2 yards 13 6 -0.22 -0.44 31.4
2 5:43 2 8 DAL 17 Duane Thomas for 6 yards 13 6 -0.44 -0.39 31.1
2 5:19 3 2 DAL 23 13 6 -0.39 0.81 27.0
2 4:55 1 10 DAL 28 Craig Morton pass complete to Duane Thomas for 5 yards 13 6 0.81 0.94 26.4
2 4:31 2 5 DAL 33 13 6 0.94 -1.19 33.4
2 4:07 2 20 DAL 18 Craig Morton pass complete to Dan Reeves for 11 yards 13 6 -1.19 -0.3 30.2
2 3:43 3 9 DAL 29 Craig Morton sacked for -11 yards 13 6 -0.3 -2.24 37.0
2 3:19 4 20 DAL 18 Ron Widby punts 36 yards 13 6 -2.24 -2.13 36.4
2 2:48 1 10 CLT 48 Earl Morrall pass complete to Eddie Hinton for 26 yards 13 6 2.13 3.84 42.9
2 2:31 1 10 DAL 26 Earl Morrall pass incomplete intended for Eddie Hinton 13 6 3.84 3.3 40.7
2 2:14 2 10 DAL 26 Earl Morrall pass complete to Roy Jefferson for 21 yards 13 6 3.3 6.74 54.4
2 1:57 1 2 DAL 2 Norm Bulaich for no gain 13 6 6.74 5.72 50.2
2 1:25 2 2 DAL 2 Norm Bulaich for no gain 13 6 5.72 4.95 47.0
2 0:44 3 2 DAL 2 Norm Bulaich for no gain 13 6 4.95 3.25 39.9
2 0:21 4 2 DAL 2 Earl Morrall pass incomplete intended for Tom Mitchell 13 6 3.25 0.38 28.8
2 0:15 1 10 DAL 2 Walt Garrison for 2 yards 13 6 -0.38 -0.63 27.4

End of Half136-0.630
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DAL CLT EPB EPA Win%

3rd Quarter
3 15:00


Mike Clark kicks off 52 yards, returned by Jim Duncan for 17 yards. Jim Duncan fumbles, recovered by Richmond Flowers 13 6 0 -3.51 16.5
3 14:43 1 10 CLT 31 Duane Thomas for 7 yards 13 6 3.51 3.91 15.4
3 14:08 2 3 CLT 24 Walt Garrison for 9 yards 13 6 3.91 4.58 13.5
3 13:33 1 10 CLT 15 Duane Thomas for 2 yards 13 6 4.58 4.28 13.9
3 12:58 2 8 CLT 13 Walt Garrison for 6 yards 13 6 4.28 4.68 12.6
3 12:23 3 2 CLT 7 Duane Thomas for 5 yards 13 6 4.68 6.74 8.3
3 11:48 1 2 CLT 2 Duane Thomas for 1 yard. Duane Thomas fumbles, recovered by Jim Duncan 13 6 6.74 0.38 24.3
3 11:08 1 10 CLT 1 Tom Nowatzke for 2 yards 13 6 -0.38 -0.63 23.1
3 10:39 2 8 CLT 3 Norm Bulaich for 4 yards 13 6 -0.63 -0.72 22.5
3 10:10 3 4 CLT 7 Norm Bulaich for 8 yards 13 6 -0.72 -0.22 24.0
3 9:41 1 10 CLT 15 Earl Morrall pass incomplete intended for Eddie Hinton 13 6 -0.22 -0.71 22.0
3 9:12 2 10 CLT 15 Earl Morrall pass complete to Sam Havrilak for 25 yards 13 6 -0.71 1.6 30.4
3 8:43 1 10 CLT 40 Tom Nowatzke for 6 yards 13 6 1.6 1.86 31.2
3 8:14 2 4 CLT 46 Sam Havrilak for 3 yards 13 6 1.86 1.55 29.6
3 7:45 3 1 CLT 49 Norm Bulaich for 2 yards 13 6 1.55 2.32 32.6
3 7:16 1 10 DAL 49 Earl Morrall pass incomplete intended for Roy Jefferson 13 6 2.32 1.78 30.1
3 6:47 2 10 DAL 49 Earl Morrall pass complete to Norm Bulaich for 5 yards 13 6 1.78 1.75 29.6
3 6:18 3 5 DAL 44 Earl Morrall pass incomplete intended for Ray Perkins 13 6 1.75 0.33 23.6
3 5:49 4 5 DAL 44 Jim O'Brien 52 yard field goal no good 13 6 0.33 0.38 23.4
3 5:14 1 10 DAL 1 Craig Morton for 2 yards 13 6 -0.38 -0.63 24.0
3 4:41 2 8 DAL 3 Walt Garrison for 1 yard 13 6 -0.63 -1.07 25.4
3 4:08 3 7 DAL 4 Walt Garrison for no gain 13 6 -1.07 -2.49 31.3
3 3:35 4 7 DAL 4 Ron Widby punts 44 yards 13 6 -2.49 -1.53 26.6
3 3:01 1 10 CLT 39 Tom Nowatzke for 1 yard 13 6 1.53 1.12 24.4
3 2:16 2 9 CLT 40 Earl Morrall pass complete to Tom Nowatzke for 45 yards 13 6 1.12 4.58 40.7
3 1:31 1 10 DAL 15 Norm Bulaich for 3 yards 13 6 4.58 4.45 39.6
3 0:46 2 7 DAL 12 Earl Morrall for 1 yard 13 6 4.45 3.78 35.5
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail DAL CLT EPB EPA Win%

4th Quarter
4 15:00 3 6 DAL 11 Earl Morrall pass incomplete intended for Norm Bulaich is intercepted by Chuck Howley 13 6 3.78 -0.28 16.2
4 14:55 1 10 DAL 20 Walt Garrison for 19 yards 13 6 0.28 1.53 12.0
4 14:26 1 10 DAL 39 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Bob Hayes 13 6 1.53 0.99 13.2
4 13:57 2 10 DAL 39 Craig Morton pass complete to Duane Thomas for 3 yards 13 6 0.99 0.7 13.7
4 13:28 3 7 DAL 42 Craig Morton pass complete to Dan Reeves for 5 yards 13 6 0.7 -0.26 16.7
4 12:59 4 2 DAL 47 Ron Widby punts 35 yards 13 6 -0.26 -0.04 15.3
4 12:30 1 10 CLT 18 Earl Morrall pass incomplete intended for Roy Jefferson 13 6 0.04 -0.49 12.9
4 12:08 2 10 CLT 18 Earl Morrall pass incomplete intended for Roy Jefferson 13 6 -0.49 -1.17 10.3
4 11:46 3 10 CLT 18 13 6 -1.17 1 17.8
4 11:24 1 10 CLT 31 Earl Morrall pass complete to Roy Jefferson for 23 yards 13 6 1 2.52 24.8
4 11:02 1 10 DAL 46 Tom Nowatzke for no gain 13 6 2.52 1.98 21.5
4 10:40 2 10 DAL 46 Earl Morrall pass complete to Sam Havrilak for 2 yards 13 6 1.98 1.55 19.0
4 10:18 3 8 DAL 44 13 6 1.55 2.98 26.1
4 9:56 1 10 DAL 39 Tom Nowatzke for 9 yards 13 6 2.98 3.66 29.7
4 9:34 2 1 DAL 30 Sam Havrilak pass complete to Eddie Hinton for 25 yards. Eddie Hinton fumbles, ball out of bounds at tm_ 13 6 3.66 -0.28 10.1
4 9:11 1 10 DAL 20 Walt Garrison for 3 yards 13 6 0.28 0.14 10.1
4 8:51 2 7 DAL 23 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Duane Thomas 13 6 0.14 -0.56 12.1
4 8:31 3 7 DAL 23 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Walt Garrison is intercepted by Rick Volk 13 6 -0.56 -6.51 48.9
4 8:10 1 3 DAL 3 Tom Nowatzke for 1 yard 13 6 6.51 5.72 42.5
4 7:53 2 2 DAL 2 Tom Nowatzke for 2 yards, touchdown 13 13 5.72 7 52.7
4 7:35


Jim O'Brien kicks off 43 yards, returned by Cliff Harris for 18 yards 13 13 0 1.27 42.1
4 7:20 1 10 DAL 35 Walt Garrison for 1 yard 13 13 1.27 0.86 45.3
4 6:48 2 9 DAL 36 Craig Morton pass complete to Walt Garrison for 14 yards 13 13 0.86 2.26 33.2
4 6:16 1 10 DAL 50 Duane Thomas for no gain 13 13 2.26 1.71 37.0
4 5:44 2 10 DAL 50 Craig Morton pass incomplete 13 13 1.71 1.03 42.5
4 5:12 3 10 DAL 50 Craig Morton pass complete to Walt Garrison for 5 yards 13 13 1.03 0.27 49.5
4 4:40 4 5 CLT 45 Ron Widby punts 40 yards 13 13 0.27 0.38 48.0
4 4:03 1 10 CLT 5 Tom Nowatzke for 4 yards 13 13 -0.38 -0.49 46.4
4 3:22 2 6 CLT 9 Tom Nowatzke for 1 yard 13 13 -0.49 -0.84 41.4
4 2:41 3 5 CLT 10 Norm Bulaich for no gain 13 13 -0.84 -2.49 20.5
4 2:00 4 5 CLT 10 David Lee punts 38 yards 13 13 -2.49 -2.39 17.9
4 1:51 1 10 CLT 48 Duane Thomas for -1 yards 13 13 2.39 1.71 24.9
4 1:20 2 11 CLT 49 13 13 1.71 -1.53 77.8
4 1:09 2 35 DAL 27 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Dan Reeves is intercepted by Mike Curtis 13 13 -1.53 -3.71 97.4
4 0:59 1 10 DAL 28 Norm Bulaich for 2 yards 13 13 3.71 3.44 97.4
4 0:34 2 8 DAL 26 Norm Bulaich for 1 yard 13 13 3.44 2.87 98.1
4 0:09 3 7 DAL 25 Jim O'Brien 32 yard field goal good 13 16 2.87 3 99.9
4 0:05


Jim O'Brien kicks off 22 yards, returned by Steve Kiner for 2 yards 13 16 0 1.6 98.2
4 0:01 1 10 DAL 40 Craig Morton pass incomplete intended for Walt Garrison is intercepted by Jerry Logan 13 16 1.6 -2.92 99.9

End of Regulation1316-2.920
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).

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