Thursday, January 7, 2016

SUPER BOWL XXXII: Green Bay Packers 24 vs. Denver Broncos 31

Sunday, January 25,1998

1234Final
Green Bay Packers (13-3-0)773724
Denver Broncos (12-4-0)7107731

Game Info
Stadium Qualcomm Stadium
Start Time (ET) 6:30pm
Roof outdoors
Surface grass
Weather 59 degrees relative humidity 79%, wind 6 mph
Vegas Line Green Bay Packers -11.0
Over/Under 50.0 (over)
Super Bowl MVP Terrell Davis

Expected Points Summary

Glossary  · SHARE  · Embed  · CSV  · Export  · PRE  · LINK  · ?
Expected points are an estimate of points per play based on down, distance, and yard line. Points given for offense and defense are offensive/defensive plays + penalties on which there was no play (eg, a false start). Special teams are all kicking + punting plays. Points are zeroed out at the end of halves.

Win Probability

Pro-Football-Reference.com Win Probability - Green Bay Packers vs. Denver Broncos, 1/25/1998Q1Q2Q3Q4EOGGNB0.50DEN-16.3%-16.3%+16.7%+16.7%+22.7%+22.7%+21.4%+21.4%
Play IDWin Pct
10.196
20.205
30.221
40.179
50.163
60.151
70.154
80.134
90.092
100.116
110.116
120.114
130.13
140.121
150.111
160.136
170.17
180.164
190.217
200.199
210.225
220.217
230.214
240.296
250.327
260.35
270.356
280.35
290.382
300.416
310.402
320.393
330.457
340.428
350.449
360.452
370.581
380.565
390.543
400.51
410.576
420.564
430.553
440.572
450.635
460.644
470.657
480.65
490.632
500.6
510.624
520.642
530.668
540.597
550.563
560.551
570.545
580.537
590.558
600.51
610.535
620.488
630.512
640.508
650.47
660.501
670.533
680.505
690.395
700.463
710.396
720.416
730.253
740.272
750.298
760.314
770.231
780.253
790.284
800.3
810.327
820.294
830.291
840.323
850.335
860.319
870.259
880.271
890.272
900.29
910.352
920.247
930.248
940.275
950.332
960.347
970.291
980.275
990.289
1000.324
1010.326
1020.363
1030.485
1040.518
1050.555
1060.555
1070.525
1080.667
1090.655
1100.718
1110.885
1120.741
1130.643
1140.551
1150.564
1160.48
1170.347
1180.373
1190.313
1200.284
1210.28
1220.236
1230.237
1240.201
1250.227
1260.25
1270.323
1280.37
1290.443
1300.448
1310.44
1320.515
1330.511
1340.609
1350.608
1360.559
1370.453
1380.433
1390.404
1400.406907
1410.39816
1420.457941
1430.519237
1440.462777
1450.563318
1460.520913
1470.747962
1480.622419
1490.836734
1500.814445
1510.806365
1520.771049
1530.797943
1540.714928
1550.735798
1560.771019
1570.849919
1581
1591
Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats


Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense

Kick/Punt Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Play Times Note  · Glossary  · SHARE  · Embed  · CSV  · Export  · PRE  · LINK  · ?
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail GNB DEN EPB EPA Win%

1st Quarter
1 15:00


Jason Elam kicks off 65 yards, returned by Antonio Freeman for 19 yards 0 0 0 0.54 19.6
1 14:34 1 10 GNB 24 Dorsey Levens for 1 yard 0 0 0.54 0.13 20.5
1 14:08 2 9 GNB 25 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for William Henderson 0 0 0.13 -0.56 22.1
1 13:42 3 9 GNB 25 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 13 yards 0 0 -0.56 1.47 17.9
1 13:16 1 10 GNB 38 Dorsey Levens for 13 yards 0 0 1.47 2.32 16.3
1 12:50 1 10 DEN 49 Dorsey Levens for 11 yards 0 0 2.32 3.05 15.1
1 12:24 1 10 DEN 38 Dorsey Levens for 3 yards 0 0 3.05 2.91 15.4
1 11:58 2 7 DEN 35 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 13 yards 0 0 2.91 4.11 13.4
1 11:32 1 10 DEN 22 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 22 yards, touchdown 7 0 4.11 7 9.2
1 10:58


Ryan Longwell kicks off 60 yards, returned by Vaughn Hebron for 32 yards 7 0 0 1.73 11.6
1 10:32 1 10 DEN 42 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 7 0 1.73 1.73 11.6
1 10:06 2 6 DEN 46 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 7 0 1.73 1.55 11.4
1 9:40 3 2 DEN 50 John Elway pass complete to Terrell Davis for 4 yards 7 0 1.55 2.52 13.0
1 9:14 1 10 GNB 46 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Terrell Davis 7 0 2.52 1.98 12.1
1 8:48 2 10 GNB 46 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Howard Griffith 7 0 1.98 1.29 11.1
1 8:22 3 10 GNB 46 7 0 1.29 2.85 13.6
1 7:56 1 10 GNB 41 Terrell Davis for 27 yards. Antonio Freeman fumbles, recovered by Tim McKyer 7 0 2.85 4.65 17.0
1 7:30 1 10 GNB 14 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 7 0 4.65 4.33 16.4
1 7:04 2 8 GNB 12 John Elway for 10 yards 7 0 4.33 6.74 21.7
1 6:38 1 2 GNB 2 Vaughn Hebron for 1 yard 7 0 6.74 5.91 19.9
1 6:12 2 1 GNB 1 Terrell Davis for 1 yard, touchdown 7 7 5.91 7 22.5
1 5:39


Jason Elam kicks off 65 yards, returned by Antonio Freeman for 17 yards 7 7 0 0.41 21.7
1 5:23 1 10 GNB 22 Robert Brooks for 5 yards 7 7 0.41 0.54 21.4
1 5:07 2 5 GNB 27 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Robert Brooks is intercepted by Tyrone Braxton 7 7 0.54 -2.59 29.6
1 4:49 1 10 GNB 45 Terrell Davis for 16 yards 7 7 2.59 3.64 32.7
1 4:13 1 10 GNB 29 John Elway pass complete to Shannon Sharpe for 9 yards 7 7 3.64 4.32 35.0
1 3:37 2 1 GNB 20 Terrell Davis for 3 yards 7 7 4.32 4.44 35.6
1 3:01 1 10 GNB 17 Howard Griffith for 2 yards 7 7 4.44 4.15 35.0
1 2:25 2 8 GNB 15 7 7 4.15 5.1 38.2
1 1:49 2 3 GNB 10 Terrell Davis for 5 yards 7 7 5.1 6.06 41.6
1 1:13 1 5 GNB 5 Vaughn Hebron for 2 yards 7 7 6.06 5.53 40.2
1 0:37 2 3 GNB 3 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 7 7 5.53 5.17 39.3
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail GNB DEN EPB EPA Win%

2nd Quarter
2 15:00 3 1 GNB 1 John Elway for 1 yard, touchdown 7 14 5.17 7 45.7
2 14:55


Jason Elam kicks off 62 yards, returned by Antonio Freeman for 21 yards 7 14 0 0.87 42.8
2 14:32 1 10 GNB 29 Dorsey Levens for no gain 7 14 0.87 0.33 44.9
2 14:09 2 10 GNB 29 Brett Favre pass complete to Mark Chmura for 5 yards 7 14 0.33 0.3 45.2
2 13:46 3 5 GNB 34 Brett Favre sacked for -1 yards. Brett Favre fumbles, recovered by Neil Smith 7 14 0.3 -3.38 58.1
2 13:23 1 10 GNB 33 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Vaughn Hebron 7 14 3.38 2.84 56.5
2 13:08 2 10 GNB 33 Vaughn Hebron for no gain 7 14 2.84 2.15 54.3
2 12:53 3 10 GNB 33 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Rod Smith 7 14 2.15 1.15 51.0
2 12:38 4 10 GNB 33 Jason Elam 51 yard field goal good 7 17 1.15 3 57.6
2 12:21


Jason Elam kicks off 60 yards, returned by Antonio Freeman for 12 yards 7 17 0 0.41 56.4
2 11:55 1 10 GNB 22 Dorsey Levens for 7 yards 7 17 0.41 0.81 55.3
2 11:29 2 3 GNB 29 Dorsey Levens for 2 yards 7 17 0.81 0.37 57.2
2 11:03 3 1 GNB 31 Dorsey Levens for -1 yards 7 17 0.37 -1.37 63.5
2 10:37 4 2 GNB 30 Craig Hentrich punts 31 yards 7 17 -1.37 -1.53 64.4
2 10:09 1 10 DEN 39 John Elway pass complete to Shannon Sharpe for 6 yards 7 17 1.53 1.8 65.7
2 9:39 2 4 DEN 45 John Elway pass complete to Shannon Sharpe for 3 yards 7 17 1.8 1.49 65.0
2 9:09 3 1 DEN 48 7 17 1.49 0.83 63.2
2 8:39 3 6 DEN 43 John Elway pass complete to Vaughn Hebron for 5 yards 7 17 0.83 -0.19 60.0
2 8:09 4 1 DEN 48 Tom Rouen punts 47 yards 7 17 -0.19 0.38 62.4
2 7:38 1 10 GNB 5 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for William Henderson 7 17 -0.38 -0.78 64.2
2 7:13 2 10 GNB 5 Dorsey Levens for no gain 7 17 -0.78 -1.42 66.8
2 6:48 3 10 GNB 5 Brett Favre pass complete to Mark Chmura for 21 yards 7 17 -1.42 0.67 59.7
2 6:23 1 10 GNB 26 Dorsey Levens for 15 yards 7 17 0.67 1.66 56.3
2 5:58 1 10 GNB 41 Dorsey Levens for 7 yards 7 17 1.66 2.07 55.1
2 5:33 2 3 GNB 48 Brett Favre pass complete to Robert Brooks for 3 yards 7 17 2.07 2.32 54.5
2 5:08 1 10 DEN 49 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 6 yards 7 17 2.32 2.59 53.7
2 4:43 2 4 DEN 43 Brett Favre pass complete to William Henderson for 2 yards 7 17 2.59 2.15 55.8
2 4:18 3 2 DEN 41 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 9 yards 7 17 2.15 3.45 51.0
2 3:53 1 10 DEN 32 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Derrick Mayes 7 17 3.45 2.9 53.5
2 3:28 2 10 DEN 32 Brett Favre pass complete to Mark Chmura for 11 yards 7 17 2.9 4.17 48.8
2 3:03 1 10 DEN 21 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Robert Brooks 7 17 4.17 3.63 51.2
2 2:38 2 10 DEN 21 Brett Favre pass complete to Terry Mickens for 6 yards 7 17 3.63 3.81 50.8
2 2:13 3 4 DEN 15 Dorsey Levens for 4 yards 7 17 3.81 4.84 47.0
2 1:48 1 10 DEN 11 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Robert Brooks 7 17 4.84 4.14 50.1
2 1:23 2 10 DEN 11 7 17 4.14 3.44 53.3
2 0:58 2 15 DEN 16 Brett Favre pass complete to Robert Brooks for 10 yards 7 17 3.44 4.21 50.5
2 0:17 3 5 DEN 6 Brett Favre pass complete to Mark Chmura for 6 yards, touchdown 14 17 4.21 7 39.5
2 0:12


Ryan Longwell kicks off 45 yards, returned by Keith Burns for 16 yards 14 17 0 1.66 46.3
2 0:06 1 10 DEN 41 John Elway for -1 yards 14 17 1.66 0.99 39.6

End of Half14170.990
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail GNB DEN EPB EPA Win%

3rd Quarter
3 15:00


Ryan Longwell kicks off 61 yards, returned by Vaughn Hebron for 14 yards 14 17 0 0.48 41.6
3 14:51 1 10 DEN 23 Terrell Davis for 3 yards. Terrell Davis fumbles, recovered by Tyrone Williams 14 17 0.48 -3.84 25.3
3 14:41 1 10 DEN 26 Dorsey Levens for no gain 14 17 3.84 3.3 27.2
3 14:25 2 10 DEN 26 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Robert Brooks 14 17 3.3 2.61 29.8
3 14:09 3 10 DEN 26 Brett Favre pass complete to Dorsey Levens for 6 yards 14 17 2.61 2.2 31.4
3 13:53 4 4 DEN 20 14 17 2.2 4.58 23.1
3 13:37 1 10 DEN 15 Dorsey Levens for no gain 14 17 4.58 3.95 25.3
3 13:21 2 10 DEN 15 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Antonio Freeman 14 17 3.95 3.1 28.4
3 13:05 3 10 DEN 15 14 17 3.1 2.68 30.0
3 12:49 3 15 DEN 20 14 17 2.68 2.01 32.7
3 12:33 3 20 DEN 25 Dorsey Levens for 16 yards 14 17 2.01 2.9 29.4
3 12:17 4 4 DEN 9 Ryan Longwell 27 yard field goal good 17 17 2.9 3 29.1
3 11:59


Ryan Longwell kicks off 61 yards, returned by Vaughn Hebron for 19 yards 17 17 0 0.81 32.3
3 11:39 1 10 DEN 28 Terrell Davis for 6 yards 17 17 0.81 1.07 33.5
3 11:19 2 4 DEN 34 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 17 17 1.07 0.63 31.9
3 10:59 3 2 DEN 36 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Willie Green 17 17 0.63 -0.98 25.9
3 10:39 4 2 DEN 36 Tom Rouen punts 38 yards 17 17 -0.98 -0.67 27.1
3 10:19 1 10 GNB 26 Dorsey Levens for 4 yards 17 17 0.67 0.67 27.2
3 10:02 2 6 GNB 30 Dorsey Levens for 2 yards 17 17 0.67 0.23 29.0
3 9:45 3 4 GNB 32 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Derrick Mayes 17 17 0.23 -1.24 35.2
3 9:28 4 4 GNB 32 17 17 -1.24 1.4 24.7
3 9:11 1 10 GNB 37 Dorsey Levens for 4 yards 17 17 1.4 1.4 24.8
3 8:54 2 6 GNB 41 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Robert Brooks 17 17 1.4 0.7 27.5
3 8:37 3 6 GNB 41 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Robert Brooks 17 17 0.7 -0.65 33.2
3 8:20 4 6 GNB 41 17 17 -0.65 -0.98 34.7
3 8:03 4 11 GNB 36 Craig Hentrich punts 51 yards 17 17 -0.98 0.38 29.1
3 7:46 1 10 DEN 8 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Ed McCaffrey 17 17 -0.38 -0.78 27.5
3 7:13 2 10 DEN 8 John Elway pass complete to Shannon Sharpe for 8 yards 17 17 -0.78 -0.48 28.9
3 6:40 3 2 DEN 16 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 17 17 -0.48 0.28 32.4
3 6:07 1 10 DEN 20 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 17 17 0.28 0.27 32.6
3 5:34 2 6 DEN 24 Terrell Davis for 7 yards 17 17 0.27 1 36.3
3 5:01 1 10 DEN 31 John Elway pass complete to Ed McCaffrey for 36 yards 17 17 1 3.38 48.5
3 4:28 1 10 GNB 33 Terrell Davis for 8 yards 17 17 3.38 3.92 51.8
3 3:55 2 2 GNB 25 John Elway pass complete to Ed McCaffrey for 9 yards 17 17 3.92 4.51 55.5
3 3:22 1 10 GNB 16 Terrell Davis for 3 yards 17 17 4.51 4.39 55.5
3 2:49 2 7 GNB 13 Terrell Davis for 1 yard 17 17 4.39 3.73 52.5
3 2:16 3 6 GNB 12 John Elway for 8 yards 17 17 3.73 6.28 66.7
3 1:43 1 4 GNB 4 Terrell Davis for 3 yards 17 17 6.28 5.91 65.5
3 1:10 2 1 GNB 1 Terrell Davis for 1 yard, touchdown 17 24 5.91 7 71.8
3 0:34


Jason Elam kicks off 61 yards, returned by Antonio Freeman for 13 yards 17 24 0 -4.11 88.5
3 0:22 1 10 GNB 22 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Rod Smith is intercepted by Eugene Robinson 17 24 4.11 0.22 74.1
3 0:11 1 10 GNB 15 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 27 yards 17 24 -0.22 1.73 64.3
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail GNB DEN EPB EPA Win%

4th Quarter
4 15:00 1 10 GNB 42 17 24 1.73 3.38 55.1
4 14:38 1 10 DEN 33 Brett Favre pass complete to Robert Brooks for 3 yards 17 24 3.38 3.24 56.4
4 14:16 2 7 DEN 30 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 17 yards 17 24 3.24 4.71 48.0
4 13:54 1 10 DEN 13 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 13 yards, touchdown 24 24 4.71 7 34.7
4 13:32


Ryan Longwell kicks off 62 yards, returned by Vaughn Hebron for 14 yards 24 24 0 0.41 37.3
4 13:11 1 10 DEN 22 24 24 0.41 -0.66 31.3
4 12:50 1 20 DEN 12 Terrell Davis for 3 yards 24 24 -0.66 -1.21 28.4
4 12:29 2 17 DEN 15 John Elway pass complete to Terrell Davis for 4 yards 24 24 -1.21 -1.29 28.0
4 12:08 3 13 DEN 19 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Willie Green 24 24 -1.29 -2.14 23.6
4 11:47 4 13 DEN 19 Tom Rouen punts 33 yards 24 24 -2.14 -2.13 23.7
4 11:23 1 10 GNB 48 Brett Favre pass complete to Dorsey Levens for 11 yards 24 24 2.13 2.85 20.1
4 11:09 1 10 DEN 41 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Antonio Freeman 24 24 2.85 2.31 22.7
4 10:55 2 10 DEN 41 Dorsey Levens for 2 yards 24 24 2.31 1.88 25.0
4 10:41 3 8 DEN 39 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Robert Brooks 24 24 1.88 0.66 32.3
4 10:27 4 8 DEN 39 Craig Hentrich punts 21 yards 24 24 0.66 -0.04 37.0
4 10:11 1 10 DEN 18 Terrell Davis for 14 yards 24 24 0.04 1.07 44.3
4 9:43 1 10 DEN 32 Terrell Davis for 4 yards 24 24 1.07 1.07 44.8
4 9:15 2 6 DEN 36 John Elway pass complete to Dwayne Carswell for 4 yards 24 24 1.07 0.89 44.0
4 8:47 3 2 DEN 40 Terrell Davis for 3 yards 24 24 0.89 1.8 51.5
4 8:19 1 10 DEN 43 Terrell Davis for 3 yards 24 24 1.8 1.66 51.1
4 7:51 2 7 DEN 46 John Elway pass complete to Shannon Sharpe for 12 yards 24 24 1.66 2.79 60.9
4 7:23 1 10 GNB 42 Terrell Davis for 3 yards 24 24 2.79 2.65 60.8
4 6:55 2 7 GNB 39 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Rod Smith 24 24 2.65 1.95 55.9
4 6:27 3 7 GNB 39 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Willie Green 24 24 1.95 0.66 45.3
4 5:59 4 7 GNB 39 Tom Rouen punts 28 yards 24 24 0.66 0.37 43.3
4 5:25 1 10 GNB 11 Brett Favre pass complete to William Henderson for 7 yards 24 24 -0.37 -0 40.4
4 5:06 2 3 GNB 18 24 24 -0 -0.93 40.7
4 4:47 2 12 GNB 9 Brett Favre pass complete to Antonio Freeman for 6 yards 24 24 -0.93 -0.95 39.8
4 4:28 3 6 GNB 15 24 24 -0.95 -1.54 45.8
4 4:09 3 11 GNB 10 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Antonio Freeman 24 24 -1.54 -2.49 51.9
4 3:50 4 11 GNB 10 Craig Hentrich punts 39 yards 24 24 -2.49 -2.32 46.3
4 3:27 1 10 GNB 49 Terrell Davis for 2 yards 24 24 2.32 3.45 56.3
4 2:58 1 10 GNB 32 Terrell Davis for 1 yard 24 24 3.45 3.04 52.1
4 2:29 2 9 GNB 31 John Elway pass complete to Howard Griffith for 23 yards 24 24 3.04 5.37 74.8
4 2:00 1 8 GNB 8 24 24 5.37 4.24 62.2
4 1:54 1 18 GNB 18 Terrell Davis for 17 yards 24 24 4.24 5.91 83.7
4 1:47 2 1 GNB 1 Terrell Davis for 1 yard, touchdown 24 31 5.91 7 81.4
4 1:45


Jason Elam kicks off 62 yards, returned by Antonio Freeman for 22 yards 24 31 0 0.94 80.6
4 1:39 1 10 GNB 30 Brett Favre pass complete to Dorsey Levens for 22 yards 24 31 0.94 2.39 77.1
4 1:16 1 10 DEN 48 Brett Favre pass complete to Dorsey Levens for no gain 24 31 2.39 1.85 79.8
4 1:11 2 10 DEN 48 Brett Favre pass complete to Dorsey Levens for 13 yards 24 31 1.85 3.25 71.5
4 1:04 1 10 DEN 35 Brett Favre pass complete to Dorsey Levens for 4 yards 24 31 3.25 3.24 73.6
4 0:42 2 6 DEN 31 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Antonio Freeman 24 31 3.24 2.54 77.1
4 0:36 3 6 DEN 31 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Robert Brooks 24 31 2.54 1.34 85.0
4 0:32 4 6 DEN 31 Brett Favre pass incomplete intended for Mark Chmura 24 31 1.34 -1 99.9
4 0:28 1 10 DEN 31 John Elway for -1 yards 24 31 1 0.32 99.9

End of Regulation24310.320
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).

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