Wednesday, January 6, 2016

SUPER BOWL XXIII: San Francisco 49ers 20 vs. Cincinnati Bengals 16

Sunday, January 22,1989

1234Final
San Francisco 49ers (10-6-0)3031420
Cincinnati Bengals (12-4-0)0310316

Game Info
Stadium Joe Robbie Stadium
Start Time (ET) 5:00pm
Roof outdoors
Surface grass
Weather 72 degrees relative humidity 80%, wind 17 mph
Vegas Line San Francisco 49ers -6.0
Over/Under 46.0 (under)
Super Bowl MVP Jerry Rice

Win Probability

Pro-Football-Reference.com Win Probability - San Francisco 49ers vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1/22/1989Q1Q2Q3Q4EOGSFO0.50CIN-22.4%-22.4%+37.4%+37.4%+24.0%+24.0%-53.5%-53.5%
Play IDWin Pct
10.308
20.305
30.324
40.284
50.319
60.316
70.35
80.349
90.382
100.399
110.375
120.41
130.395
140.395
150.355
160.347
170.343
180.347
190.328
200.306
210.279
220.262
230.259
240.274
250.293
260.233
270.246
280.265
290.289
300.258
310.266
320.262
330.287
340.279
350.26
360.228
370.234
380.208
390.195
400.187
410.145
420.151
430.171
440.178
450.269
460.253
470.238
480.22
490.194
500.244
510.27
520.313
530.322
540.351
550.333
560.311
570.261
580.274
590.287
600.308
610.253
620.27
630.313
640.364
650.348
660.355
670.351
680.41
690.406
700.406
710.353
720.374
730.35
740.324
750.344
760.397
770.399
780.361
790.376
800.365
810.376
820.404
830.436
840.486
850.458
860.401
870.49
880.531
890.518
900.48
910.494
920.582
930.579
940.55
950.514
960.483
970.546
980.497
990.525
1000.461
1010.463
1020.41
1030.412
1040.471
1050.535
1060.575
1070.351
1080.379
1090.396
1100.431
1110.409
1120.783
1130.795
1140.696
1150.55
1160.592
1170.414
1180.524
1190.544
1200.53
1210.438
1220.387
1230.42
1240.237
1250.214
1260.257
1270.34
1280.514
1290.473
1300.391
1310.594
1320.57
1330.672
1340.717
1350.795
1360.791
1370.765
1380.718
1390.671
1400.781
1410.829
1420.817
1430.776
1440.747
1450.824
1460.729
1470.568
1480.428
1490.525
1500.765
1510.23
1520.061
1530.002
1540.008
1550.004
1560
1570
1580
Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats


Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense

Kick/Punt Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Play Times Note  · Glossary  · SHARE  · Embed  · CSV  · Export  · PRE  · LINK  · ?
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO CIN EPB EPA Win%

1st Quarter
1 15:00


Lee Johnson kicks off 49 yards, returned by Harry Sydney for 11 yards 0 0 0 0.74 30.8
1 14:42 1 10 SFO 27 Jerry Rice for 5 yards 0 0 0.74 0.87 30.5
1 14:24 2 5 SFO 32 Roger Craig for no gain 0 0 0.87 0.17 32.4
1 14:06 3 5 SFO 32 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 10 yards 0 0 0.17 1.73 28.4
1 13:48 1 10 SFO 42 Joe Montana sacked for -6 yards 0 0 1.73 0.38 31.9
1 13:30 2 16 SFO 36 Roger Craig for 6 yards 0 0 0.38 0.5 31.6
1 13:12 3 10 SFO 42 Joe Montana for -2 yards. Joe Montana fumbles, recovered by Joe Montana 0 0 0.5 -0.72 35.0
1 12:54 4 12 SFO 40 Barry Helton punts 34 yards 0 0 -0.72 -0.67 34.9
1 12:31 1 10 CIN 26 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Eddie Brown for 17 yards 0 0 0.67 1.8 38.2
1 12:00 1 10 CIN 43 Ickey Woods for 8 yards 0 0 1.8 2.33 39.9
1 11:29 2 2 SFO 49 James Brooks for -1 yards 0 0 2.33 1.49 37.5
1 10:58 3 3 CIN 50 Ickey Woods for 6 yards 0 0 1.49 2.65 41.0
1 10:27 1 10 SFO 44 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Rodney Holman 0 0 2.65 2.11 39.5
1 9:56 2 10 SFO 44 Ickey Woods for 5 yards 0 0 2.11 2.08 39.5
1 9:25 3 5 SFO 39 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Tim McGee 0 0 2.08 0.66 35.5
1 8:54 4 5 SFO 39 Lee Johnson punts 36 yards 0 0 0.66 0.38 34.7
1 8:16 1 10 SFO 3 Roger Craig for 8 yards 0 0 -0.38 -0.2 34.3
1 7:55 2 2 SFO 11 Joe Montana for 2 yards 0 0 -0.2 -0.32 34.7
1 7:34 1 10 SFO 13 Joe Montana pass complete to John Frank for 8 yards 0 0 -0.32 0.35 32.8
1 7:13 2 2 SFO 21 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 12 yards 0 0 0.35 1.14 30.6
1 6:52 1 10 SFO 33 0 0 1.14 2.13 27.9
1 6:31 1 10 SFO 48 Roger Craig for 9 yards 0 0 2.13 2.8 26.2
1 6:10 2 1 CIN 43 Tom Rathman for 3 yards 0 0 2.8 2.92 25.9
1 5:49 1 10 CIN 40 Tom Rathman for no gain 0 0 2.92 2.37 27.4
1 5:28 2 10 CIN 40 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for John Taylor 0 0 2.37 1.68 29.3
1 5:07 3 10 CIN 40 Joe Montana pass complete to Tom Rathman for 16 yards 0 0 1.68 3.97 23.3
1 4:46 1 10 CIN 24 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Mike Wilson 0 0 3.97 3.43 24.6
1 4:25 2 10 CIN 24 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Roger Craig 0 0 3.43 2.74 26.5
1 4:04 3 10 CIN 24 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Jerry Rice 0 0 2.74 1.87 28.9
1 3:43 4 10 CIN 24 Mike Cofer 41 yard field goal good 3 0 1.87 3 25.8
1 3:14


Mike Cofer kicks off 65 yards, touchback 3 0 0 0.28 26.6
1 2:50 1 10 CIN 20 James Brooks for 3 yards 3 0 0.28 0.14 26.2
1 2:26 2 7 CIN 23 Ickey Woods for 8 yards 3 0 0.14 1 28.7
1 2:02 1 10 CIN 31 Ickey Woods for 2 yards 3 0 1 0.73 27.9
1 1:38 2 8 CIN 33 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Jim Riggs 3 0 0.73 0.04 26.0
1 1:14 3 8 CIN 33 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Eddie Brown 3 0 0.04 -1.18 22.8
1 0:50 4 8 CIN 33 Lee Johnson punts 48 yards 3 0 -1.18 -0.94 23.4
1 0:23 1 10 SFO 30 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 16 yards 3 0 0.94 1.99 20.8
1 0:12 1 10 SFO 46 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 8 yards 3 0 1.99 2.53 19.5
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO CIN EPB EPA Win%

2nd Quarter
2 15:00 2 2 CIN 46 Roger Craig for 5 yards 3 0 2.53 2.85 18.7
2 14:37 1 10 CIN 41 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 30 yards 3 0 2.85 4.84 14.5
2 14:14 1 10 CIN 11 Tom Rathman for 2 yards 3 0 4.84 4.51 15.1
2 13:51 2 8 CIN 9 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for John Frank 3 0 4.51 3.53 17.1
2 13:28 3 8 CIN 9 Tom Rathman for 7 yards 3 0 3.53 3.25 17.8
2 13:02 4 1 CIN 2 Mike Cofer 19 yard field goal no good 3 0 3.25 -0.28 26.9
2 12:59 1 10 CIN 20 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Eddie Brown 3 0 0.28 -0.27 25.3
2 12:31 2 10 CIN 20 Ickey Woods for 1 yard 3 0 -0.27 -0.82 23.8
2 12:03 3 9 CIN 21 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Eddie Brown for 7 yards 3 0 -0.82 -1.5 22.0
2 11:35 4 2 CIN 28 Lee Johnson punts 63 yards 3 0 -1.5 -2.52 19.4
2 11:06 1 10 CIN 46 Joe Montana for -2 yards 3 0 2.52 0.63 24.4
2 10:45 2 20 SFO 44 Joe Montana sacked for -2 yards 3 0 0.63 -0.29 27.0
2 10:24 3 22 SFO 42 Roger Craig for 16 yards. Roger Craig fumbles, recovered by Jim Skow 3 0 -0.29 -1.66 31.3
2 10:03 1 10 CIN 41 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Cris Collinsworth for 6 yards 3 0 1.66 1.93 32.2
2 9:42 2 4 CIN 47 James Brooks for 11 yards 3 0 1.93 2.79 35.1
2 9:21 1 10 SFO 42 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Tim McGee 3 0 2.79 2.24 33.3
2 9:00 2 10 SFO 42 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete 3 0 2.24 1.55 31.1
2 8:39 3 10 SFO 42 Boomer Esiason sacked for -8 yards 3 0 1.55 -0.06 26.1
2 8:18 4 18 CIN 50 Lee Johnson punts 39 yards 3 0 -0.06 0.37 27.4
2 7:52 1 10 SFO 11 Roger Craig for no gain 3 0 -0.37 -0.78 28.7
2 7:24 2 10 SFO 11 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Roger Craig 3 0 -0.78 -1.42 30.8
2 6:56 3 10 SFO 11 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 10 yards 3 0 -1.42 0.34 25.3
2 6:28 1 10 SFO 21 Roger Craig for no gain 3 0 0.34 -0.2 27.0
2 6:00 2 10 SFO 21 3 0 -0.2 -1.51 31.3
2 5:32 2 20 SFO 11 Roger Craig for -3 yards 3 0 -1.51 -2.94 36.4
2 5:04 3 23 SFO 8 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 4 yards 3 0 -2.94 -2.49 34.8
2 4:36 4 19 SFO 12 Barry Helton punts 37 yards 3 0 -2.49 -2.65 35.5
2 4:04 1 10 SFO 44 Ickey Woods for 3 yards 3 0 2.65 2.52 35.1
2 3:23 2 7 SFO 41 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Tim McGee for 18 yards 3 0 2.52 4.04 41.0
2 2:42 1 10 SFO 23 James Brooks for 3 yards 3 0 4.04 3.9 40.6
2 2:00 2 7 SFO 20 Ickey Woods for 4 yards 3 0 3.9 3.85 40.6
2 1:40 3 3 SFO 16 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Eddie Brown 3 0 3.85 2.48 35.3
2 1:19 4 3 SFO 16 Jim Breech 34 yard field goal good 3 3 2.48 3 37.4
2 1:15


Lee Johnson kicks off 62 yards, returned by Del Rodgers for 22 yards 3 3 0 0.61 35.0
2 1:04 1 10 SFO 25 Roger Craig for 11 yards 3 3 0.61 1.33 32.4
2 0:53 1 10 SFO 36 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Roger Craig 3 3 1.33 0.79 34.4
2 0:41 2 10 SFO 36 Joe Montana sacked for -5 yards 3 3 0.79 -0.56 39.7
2 0:36 3 15 SFO 31 Tom Rathman for 11 yards 3 3 -0.56 -0.59 39.9
2 0:28 4 4 SFO 42 Barry Helton punts 55 yards 3 3 -0.59 0.38 36.1
2 0:13 1 10 CIN 3 Boomer Esiason for no gain 3 3 -0.38 -0.78 37.6

End of Half33-0.780
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO CIN EPB EPA Win%

3rd Quarter
3 15:00


-- 3 3 0 -0.28 36.5
3 14:28 1 10 CIN 14 Ickey Woods for 5 yards 3 3 -0.28 -0.04 37.6
3 13:56 2 5 CIN 19 Ickey Woods for 6 yards 3 3 -0.04 0.61 40.4
3 13:24 1 10 CIN 25 3 3 0.61 1.34 43.6
3 12:52 1 5 CIN 30 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Cris Collinsworth for 23 yards 3 3 1.34 2.46 48.6
3 12:20 1 10 SFO 47 Ickey Woods for -1 yards 3 3 2.46 1.78 45.8
3 11:48 2 11 SFO 48 3 3 1.78 0.43 40.1
3 11:16 2 21 CIN 42 Boomer Esiason pass complete to James Brooks for 20 yards 3 3 0.43 2.41 49.0
3 10:44 3 1 SFO 38 Ickey Woods for 3 yards 3 3 2.41 3.25 53.1
3 10:12 1 10 SFO 35 3 3 3.25 2.92 51.8
3 9:40 1 15 SFO 40 Boomer Esiason sacked for 0 yards 3 3 2.92 2.03 48.0
3 9:08 2 15 SFO 40 James Brooks for 7 yards 3 3 2.03 2.28 49.4
3 8:36 3 8 SFO 33 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Cris Collinsworth for 11 yards 3 3 2.28 4.11 58.2
3 8:04 1 10 SFO 22 Ickey Woods for 3 yards 3 3 4.11 3.97 57.9
3 7:32 2 7 SFO 19 3 3 3.97 3.29 55.0
3 7:00 2 12 SFO 24 Ickey Woods for -1 yards 3 3 3.29 2.48 51.4
3 6:28 3 13 SFO 25 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Tim McGee 3 3 2.48 1.8 48.3
3 5:45 4 13 SFO 25 Jim Breech 43 yard field goal good 3 6 1.8 3 54.6
3 5:39


-- 3 6 0 1 49.7
3 5:32 1 10 SFO 31 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Jerry Rice 3 6 1 0.46 52.5
3 5:24 2 10 SFO 31 Joe Montana for 11 yards 3 6 0.46 1.73 46.1
3 4:57 1 10 SFO 42 Roger Craig for 4 yards 3 6 1.73 1.73 46.3
3 4:30 2 6 SFO 46 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 12 yards 3 6 1.73 2.79 41.0
3 4:03 1 10 CIN 42 Roger Craig for 4 yards 3 6 2.79 2.78 41.2
3 3:36 2 6 CIN 38 Joe Montana sacked for -3 yards 3 6 2.78 1.68 47.1
3 3:09 3 9 CIN 41 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Roger Craig 3 6 1.68 0.53 53.5
3 2:42 4 9 CIN 41 Barry Helton punts 22 yards 3 6 0.53 -0.15 57.5
3 2:29 1 10 CIN 19 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Tim McGee is intercepted by Bill Romanowski 3 6 0.15 -4.04 35.1
3 2:22 1 10 CIN 23 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Jerry Rice 3 6 4.04 3.5 37.9
3 1:59 2 10 CIN 23 Roger Craig for 3 yards 3 6 3.5 3.2 39.6
3 1:36 3 7 CIN 20 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 5 yards 3 6 3.2 2.57 43.1
3 1:13 4 2 CIN 15 Mike Cofer 32 yard field goal good 6 6 2.57 3 40.9
3 0:50


Mike Cofer kicks off 58 yards, returned by Stanford Jennings for 93 yards, touchdown 6 13 0 7 78.3
3 0:34


Lee Johnson kicks off 63 yards, returned by John Taylor for 13 yards 6 13 0 -0.22 79.5
3 0:14 1 10 SFO 15 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 31 yards 6 13 -0.22 1.99 69.6
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO CIN EPB EPA Win%

4th Quarter
4 15:00 1 10 SFO 46 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 40 yards 6 13 1.99 4.65 55.0
4 14:35 1 10 CIN 14 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for John Taylor 6 13 4.65 4 59.2
4 14:09 2 10 CIN 14 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 14 yards, touchdown 13 13 4 -7 41.4
4 14:03 1 10 CIN 35 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Eddie Brown for 8 yards 13 13 1.27 1.8 52.4
4 13:35 2 2 CIN 43 Ickey Woods for 4 yards 13 13 1.8 2.06 54.4
4 13:07 1 10 CIN 47 Ickey Woods for 2 yards 13 13 2.06 1.79 53.0
4 12:39 2 8 CIN 49 Boomer Esiason sacked for -6 yards 13 13 1.79 0.3 43.8
4 12:11 3 14 CIN 43 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Cris Collinsworth 13 13 0.3 -0.52 38.7
4 11:43 4 14 CIN 43 Lee Johnson punts 35 yards. John Taylor fumbles, recovered by Darryl Pollard 13 13 -0.52 -0.04 42.0
4 11:14 1 10 SFO 18 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 44 yards 13 13 0.04 3.05 23.7
4 10:39 1 10 CIN 38 Roger Craig for 7 yards 13 13 3.05 3.45 21.4
4 10:04 2 3 CIN 31 Roger Craig for -1 yards 13 13 3.45 2.61 25.7
4 9:29 3 4 CIN 32 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for John Taylor 13 13 2.61 1.27 34.0
4 8:53 4 4 CIN 32 Mike Cofer 49 yard field goal no good 13 13 1.27 -1.07 51.4
4 8:47 1 10 CIN 32 Ickey Woods for no gain 13 13 1.07 0.53 47.3
4 8:26 2 10 CIN 32 Boomer Esiason sacked for -3 yards 13 13 0.53 -0.56 39.1
4 8:04 3 13 CIN 29 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Ira Hillary for 17 yards 13 13 -0.56 1.99 59.4
4 7:27 1 10 CIN 46 James Brooks for 1 yard 13 13 1.99 1.59 57.0
4 6:50 2 9 CIN 47 Ickey Woods for 10 yards 13 13 1.59 2.72 67.2
4 6:13 1 10 SFO 43 Ickey Woods for 7 yards 13 13 2.72 3.12 71.7
4 5:36 2 3 SFO 36 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Eddie Brown for 12 yards 13 13 3.12 3.97 79.5
4 4:55 1 10 SFO 24 13 13 3.97 3.64 79.1
4 4:55 1 15 SFO 29 Ickey Woods for 4 yards 13 13 3.64 3.3 76.5
4 4:32 2 11 SFO 25 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for James Brooks 13 13 3.3 2.61 71.8
4 4:08 3 11 SFO 25 Stanford Jennings for 3 yards 13 13 2.61 1.99 67.1
4 3:44 4 8 SFO 22 Jim Breech 40 yard field goal good 13 16 1.99 3 78.1
4 3:20


-- 13 16 0 -0.38 82.9
4 3:04 1 10 SFO 8 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 8 yards 13 16 -0.38 -0.09 81.7
4 2:48 2 2 SFO 16 Joe Montana pass complete to John Frank for 7 yards 13 16 -0.09 0.48 77.6
4 2:32 1 10 SFO 23 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 7 yards 13 16 0.48 0.88 74.7
4 2:16 2 3 SFO 30 Roger Craig for 1 yard 13 16 0.88 0.3 82.4
4 2:00 3 2 SFO 31 Roger Craig for 4 yards 13 16 0.3 1.27 72.9
4 1:54 1 10 SFO 35 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 17 yards 13 16 1.27 2.39 56.8
4 1:49 1 10 CIN 48 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 13 yards 13 16 2.39 3.25 42.8
4 1:36 1 10 CIN 35 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Jerry Rice 13 16 3.25 2.7 52.5
4 1:22 2 10 CIN 35 13 16 2.7 1.35 76.5
4 1:17 2 20 CIN 45 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 27 yards 13 16 1.35 4.37 23.0
4 0:39 1 10 CIN 18 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 8 yards 13 16 4.37 5.23 6.1
4 0:34 2 2 CIN 10 Joe Montana pass complete to John Taylor for 10 yards, touchdown 20 16 5.23 7 0.2
4 0:34


Mike Cofer kicks off 54 yards, returned by James Brooks for 15 yards 20 16 0 0.67 0.8
4 0:26 1 10 CIN 26 Boomer Esiason pass complete to Tim McGee for 5 yards 20 16 0.67 0.81 0.4
4 0:17 2 5 CIN 31 Boomer Esiason sacked for -4 yards 20 16 0.81 -0.43 0.0
4 0:14 3 9 CIN 27 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Cris Collinsworth 20 16 -0.43 -1.57 0.0
4 0:10 4 9 CIN 27 Boomer Esiason pass incomplete intended for Cris Collinsworth 20 16 -1.57 -0.74 0.0

End of Regulation2016-0.740
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).

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