Wednesday, January 6, 2016

SUPER BOWL XXIV: San Francisco 49ers 55 vs. Denver Broncos 10

Sunday, January 28,1990

1234Final
San Francisco 49ers (14-2-0)1314141455
Denver Broncos (11-5-0)307010

Game Info
Stadium Louisiana Superdome
Start Time (ET) 5:00pm
Roof dome
Surface astroturf
Vegas Line San Francisco 49ers -13.0
Over/Under 48.0 (over)
Super Bowl MVP Joe Montana

Win Probability

Pro-Football-Reference.com Win Probability - San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos, 1/28/1990Q1Q2Q3Q4EOGSFO0.50DEN-2.9%-2.9%-3.9%-3.9%-6.6%-6.6%-3.2%-3.2%
Play IDWin Pct
10.176
20.166
30.154
40.138
50.147
60.157
70.128
80.137
90.148
100.12
110.11
120.127
130.105
140.11
150.071
160.078
170.101
180.094
190.111
200.115
210.111
220.124
230.116
240.106
250.094
260.111
270.111
280.12
290.123
300.145
310.151
320.085
330.094
340.077
350.081
360.08
370.1
380.068
390.075
400.084
410.055
420.056
430.045
440.05
450.046
460.04
470.036
480.038
490.03
500.028
510.024
520.027
530.02
540.017
550.019
560.017
570.019
580.024
590.024
600.01
610.012
620.009
630.01
640.008
650.007
660.005
670.005
680.005
690.006
700.007
710.008
720.008
730.009
740.011
750.009
760.005
770.005
780.005
790.004
800.003
810.003
820.001
830.001
840.001
850.002
860.001
870.001
880.001
890
900.001
910.001
920.001
930
940
950
960
970
980
990
1000
1010
1020
1030
1040
1050
1060
1070
1080
1090
1100
1110
1120
1130
1140
1150
1160
1170
1180
1190
1200
1210
1220
1230
1240
1250
1260
1270
1280
1290
1300
1310
1320
1330
1340
1350
1360
1370
1380
1390
1400
1410
1420
1430
1440
1450
1460
1470
1480
1490
1500
1510
1520
1530
1540
1550
1560
Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats


Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense

Kick/Punt Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Play Times Note  · Glossary  · SHARE  · Embed  · CSV  · Export  · PRE  · LINK  · ?
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO DEN EPB EPA Win%

1st Quarter
1 15:00


Mike Cofer kicks off 66 yards, returned by Ken Bell for 24 yards 0 0 0 0.48 17.6
1 14:49 1 10 DEN 23 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mark Jackson 0 0 0.48 -0.07 16.6
1 14:38 2 10 DEN 23 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mark Jackson 0 0 -0.07 -0.76 15.4
1 14:27 3 10 DEN 23 John Elway for 2 yards 0 0 -0.76 -1.7 13.8
1 14:16 4 8 DEN 25 Mike Horan punts 41 yards 0 0 -1.7 -1.2 14.7
1 14:05 1 10 SFO 34 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Brent Jones 0 0 1.2 0.66 15.7
1 13:42 2 10 SFO 34 Roger Craig for 18 yards 0 0 0.66 2.39 12.8
1 13:19 1 10 DEN 48 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Roger Craig 0 0 2.39 1.85 13.7
1 12:56 2 10 DEN 48 Roger Craig for 1 yard 0 0 1.85 1.29 14.8
1 12:33 3 9 DEN 47 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 9 yards 0 0 1.29 3.05 12.0
1 12:10 1 10 DEN 38 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 9 yards 0 0 3.05 3.72 11.0
1 11:47 2 1 DEN 29 Roger Craig for -3 yards 0 0 3.72 2.61 12.7
1 11:24 3 4 DEN 32 Joe Montana for 10 yards 0 0 2.61 4.11 10.5
1 11:01 1 10 DEN 22 Roger Craig for 2 yards 0 0 4.11 3.83 11.0
1 10:38 2 8 DEN 20 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 20 yards, touchdown 7 0 3.83 7 7.1
1 10:06


Mike Cofer kicks off 52 yards, returned by Darren Carrington for 13 yards 7 0 0 0.67 7.8
1 9:48 1 10 DEN 26 John Elway pass complete to Bobby Humphrey for 27 yards 7 0 0.67 2.46 10.1
1 9:30 1 10 SFO 47 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Bobby Humphrey 7 0 2.46 1.91 9.4
1 9:12 2 10 SFO 47 Bobby Humphrey for 10 yards 7 0 1.91 3.12 11.1
1 8:54 1 10 SFO 37 Bobby Humphrey for 6 yards 7 0 3.12 3.38 11.5
1 8:36 2 4 SFO 31 Bobby Humphrey for 3 yards 7 0 3.38 3.07 11.1
1 8:18 3 1 SFO 28 John Elway for 3 yards 7 0 3.07 3.91 12.4
1 8:00 1 10 SFO 25 John Elway pass incomplete 7 0 3.91 3.36 11.6
1 7:42 2 10 SFO 25 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Orson Mobley 7 0 3.36 2.68 10.6
1 7:24 3 10 SFO 25 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mark Jackson 7 0 2.68 1.8 9.4
1 7:06 4 10 SFO 25 David Treadwell 42 yard field goal good 7 3 1.8 3 11.1
1 6:47


David Treadwell kicks off 61 yards, returned by Terrence Flagler for 14 yards 7 3 0 0.04 11.1
1 6:31 1 10 SFO 18 Joe Montana sacked for 0 yards 7 3 0.04 -0.49 12.0
1 6:15 2 10 SFO 18 Roger Craig for 4 yards 7 3 -0.49 -0.66 12.3
1 5:59 3 6 SFO 22 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Jerry Rice 7 3 -0.66 -1.9 14.5
1 5:43 4 6 SFO 22 Barry Helton punts 36 yards 7 3 -1.9 -2.19 15.1
1 5:25 1 10 DEN 49 Bobby Humphrey for 1 yard. Bobby Humphrey fumbles, recovered by Chet Brooks 7 3 2.19 -1.99 8.5
1 5:18 1 10 SFO 46 7 3 1.99 1.33 9.4
1 4:50 1 20 SFO 36 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 20 yards 7 3 1.33 2.65 7.7
1 4:22 1 10 DEN 44 Tom Rathman for 2 yards 7 3 2.65 2.38 8.1
1 3:54 2 8 DEN 42 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 6 yards 7 3 2.38 2.48 8.0
1 3:26 3 2 DEN 36 Roger Craig for 1 yard 7 3 2.48 1 10.0
1 2:58 4 1 DEN 35 Tom Rathman for 4 yards 7 3 1 3.51 6.8
1 2:30 1 10 DEN 31 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for John Taylor 7 3 3.51 2.97 7.5
1 2:02 2 10 DEN 31 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for John Taylor 7 3 2.97 2.28 8.4
1 1:34 3 10 DEN 31 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 21 yards 7 3 2.28 4.91 5.5
1 1:06 1 10 DEN 10 Roger Craig for 3 yards 7 3 4.91 4.76 5.6
1 0:38 2 7 DEN 7 Joe Montana pass complete to Brent Jones for 7 yards, touchdown 13 3 4.76 7 4.5
1 0:03


Mike Cofer kicks off 57 yards, returned by Ken Bell for 17 yards 13 3 0 0.61 5.0
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO DEN EPB EPA Win%

2nd Quarter
2 15:00 1 10 DEN 25 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mark Jackson 13 3 0.61 0.06 4.6
2 14:51 2 10 DEN 25 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Clarence Kay 13 3 0.06 -0.62 4.0
2 14:42 3 10 DEN 25 John Elway pass complete to Sammy Winder for 7 yards 13 3 -0.62 -1.24 3.6
2 14:33 4 3 DEN 32 Mike Horan punts 37 yards 13 3 -1.24 -1 3.8
2 14:22 1 10 SFO 31 Joe Montana pass complete to Tom Rathman for 18 yards 13 3 1 2.19 3.0
2 13:52 1 10 SFO 49 Roger Craig for 6 yards 13 3 2.19 2.46 2.8
2 13:22 2 4 DEN 45 Roger Craig for 9 yards 13 3 2.46 3.18 2.4
2 12:52 1 10 DEN 36 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Jerry Rice 13 3 3.18 2.64 2.7
2 12:22 2 10 DEN 36 Joe Montana pass complete to Tom Rathman for 12 yards 13 3 2.64 3.97 2.0
2 11:52 1 10 DEN 24 Roger Craig for 8 yards 13 3 3.97 4.65 1.7
2 11:22 2 2 DEN 16 Tom Rathman for 1 yard 13 3 4.65 4.17 1.9
2 10:52 3 1 DEN 15 Roger Craig for 3 yards 13 3 4.17 4.78 1.7
2 10:22 1 10 DEN 12 Roger Craig for no gain 13 3 4.78 4.1 1.9
2 9:52 2 10 DEN 12 Roger Craig for no gain 13 3 4.1 3.12 2.4
2 9:22 3 10 DEN 12 Joe Montana pass complete to Tom Rathman for 9 yards 13 3 3.12 3.06 2.4
2 8:52 4 1 DEN 3 Tom Rathman for 1 yard 13 3 3.06 6.74 1.0
2 8:22 1 2 DEN 2 Roger Craig for 1 yard 13 3 6.74 5.91 1.2
2 7:52 2 1 DEN 1 Tom Rathman for 1 yard, touchdown 20 3 5.91 7 0.9
2 7:15


Mike Cofer kicks off 63 yards, returned by Darren Carrington for 19 yards 20 3 0 0.34 1.0
2 7:06 1 10 DEN 21 Bobby Humphrey for -3 yards 20 3 0.34 -0.7 0.8
2 6:42 2 13 DEN 18 Bobby Humphrey for 2 yards 20 3 -0.7 -1.02 0.7
2 6:18 3 11 DEN 20 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mark Jackson 20 3 -1.02 -2.03 0.5
2 5:54 4 11 DEN 20 Mike Horan punts 30 yards 20 3 -2.03 -2.26 0.5
2 5:27 1 10 SFO 50 Roger Craig for no gain 20 3 2.26 1.71 0.5
2 4:55 2 10 SFO 50 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 1 yard 20 3 1.71 1.16 0.6
2 4:23 3 9 DEN 49 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 6 yards 20 3 1.16 0.4 0.7
2 3:51 4 3 DEN 43 Barry Helton punts 31 yards 20 3 0.4 0.14 0.8
2 3:19 1 10 DEN 16 John Elway pass complete to Bobby Humphrey for 4 yards 20 3 -0.14 0.01 0.8
2 2:53 2 6 DEN 20 John Elway pass complete to Clarence Kay for 6 yards 20 3 0.01 0.67 0.9
2 2:27 1 10 DEN 26 John Elway pass complete to Vance Johnson for 8 yards 20 3 0.67 1.21 1.1
2 2:00 2 2 DEN 34 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Vance Johnson 20 3 1.21 0.5 0.9
2 1:55 3 2 DEN 34 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mark Jackson 20 3 0.5 -1.11 0.5
2 1:50 4 2 DEN 34 Mike Horan punts 42 yards 20 3 -1.11 -1.66 0.5
2 1:38 1 10 SFO 41 Joe Montana pass complete to Tom Rathman for 4 yards 20 3 1.66 1.66 0.5
2 1:15 2 6 SFO 45 Joe Montana for 5 yards 20 3 1.66 1.62 0.4
2 1:05 3 1 SFO 50 Tom Rathman for 3 yards 20 3 1.62 2.46 0.3
2 0:50 1 10 DEN 47 Joe Montana pass complete to Wesley Walls for 9 yards 20 3 2.46 3.13 0.3
2 0:40 2 1 DEN 38 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 38 yards, touchdown 27 3 3.13 7 0.1
2 0:34


Mike Cofer kicks off 37 yards, returned by Mel Bratton for 9 yards 27 3 0 1.4 0.1
2 0:28 1 10 DEN 37 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mark Jackson 27 3 1.4 0.86 0.1
2 0:21 2 10 DEN 37 John Elway pass complete to Steve Sewell for 12 yards 27 3 0.86 2.19 0.2
2 0:12 1 10 DEN 49 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mike Young 27 3 2.19 1.65 0.1
2 0:06 2 10 DEN 49 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mike Young 27 3 1.65 0.96 0.1

End of Half2730.960
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO DEN EPB EPA Win%

3rd Quarter
3 15:00


David Treadwell kicks off 55 yards, returned by Terrence Flagler for 13 yards 27 3 0 0.48 0.1
3 14:52 1 10 SFO 23 Joe Montana pass complete to John Taylor for 8 yards 27 3 0.48 1.01 0.0
3 14:25 2 2 SFO 31 Tom Rathman for 1 yard 27 3 1.01 0.43 0.1
3 13:58 3 1 SFO 32 Tom Rathman for no gain 27 3 0.43 -1.24 0.1
3 13:31 4 1 SFO 32 Barry Helton punts 44 yards 27 3 -1.24 -0.54 0.1
3 13:01 1 10 DEN 24 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mark Jackson is intercepted by Mike Walter 27 3 0.54 -3.71 0.0
3 12:54 1 10 DEN 28 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 28 yards, touchdown 34 3 3.71 7 0.0
3 12:48


Mike Cofer kicks off 62 yards, returned by Darren Carrington for 27 yards 34 3 0 0.94 0.0
3 12:37 1 10 DEN 30 John Elway pass complete to Bobby Humphrey for 7 yards 34 3 0.94 1.34 0.0
3 12:12 2 3 DEN 37 Bobby Humphrey for 6 yards 34 3 1.34 1.8 0.0
3 11:47 1 10 DEN 43 John Elway sacked for -6 yards 34 3 1.8 0.44 0.0
3 11:22 2 16 DEN 37 John Elway pass complete to Steve Sewell for 10 yards 34 3 0.44 1.09 0.0
3 10:57 3 6 DEN 47 John Elway pass incomplete intended for Mike Young is intercepted by Chet Brooks 34 3 1.09 -3.12 0.0
3 10:32 1 10 DEN 37 Roger Craig for 2 yards 34 3 3.12 3.26 0.0
3 10:08 2 2 DEN 35 Joe Montana pass complete to John Taylor for 35 yards, touchdown 41 3 3.26 7 0.0
3 9:44


-- 41 3 0 1.53 0.0
3 9:32 1 10 DEN 39 John Elway pass complete to Vance Johnson for 13 yards 41 3 1.53 2.39 0.0
3 9:06 1 10 SFO 48 Bobby Humphrey for 34 yards 41 3 2.39 4.65 0.0
3 8:40 1 10 SFO 14 41 3 4.65 6.97 0.0
3 8:14 1 1 SFO 1 Bobby Humphrey for no gain 41 3 6.97 5.91 0.0
3 7:48 2 1 SFO 1 Bobby Humphrey for -2 yards 41 3 5.91 4.72 0.0
3 7:22 3 3 SFO 3 John Elway for 3 yards, touchdown 41 10 4.72 7 0.0
3 6:53


-- 41 10 0 0.61 0.0
3 6:15 1 10 SFO 25 Roger Craig for 12 yards 41 10 0.61 1.4 0.0
3 5:37 1 10 SFO 37 Roger Craig for 2 yards 41 10 1.4 1.13 0.0
3 4:59 2 8 SFO 39 Joe Montana pass complete to John Taylor for 6 yards 41 10 1.13 1.22 0.0
3 4:21 3 2 SFO 45 Joe Montana pass complete to Jamie Williams for 7 yards 41 10 1.22 2.39 0.0
3 3:43 1 10 DEN 48 Tom Rathman for 18 yards 41 10 2.39 3.58 0.0
3 3:05 1 10 DEN 30 Roger Craig for -1 yards 41 10 3.58 2.9 0.0
3 2:27 2 11 DEN 31 Joe Montana pass complete to Jerry Rice for 12 yards 41 10 2.9 4.31 0.0
3 1:49 1 10 DEN 19 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Mike Wilson 41 10 4.31 3.75 0.0
3 1:11 2 10 DEN 19 Joe Montana pass complete to Roger Craig for 12 yards 41 10 3.75 5.6 0.0
3 0:28 1 7 DEN 7 Tom Rathman for 4 yards 41 10 5.6 5.53 0.0
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO DEN EPB EPA Win%

4th Quarter
4 15:00 2 3 DEN 3 Tom Rathman for 3 yards, touchdown 48 10 5.53 7 0.0
4 14:57


Mike Cofer kicks off 64 yards, returned by Darren Carrington for 22 yards 48 10 0 0.48 0.0
4 14:48 1 10 DEN 23 John Elway sacked for -6 yards 48 10 0.48 -1.01 0.0
4 14:29 2 16 DEN 17 48 10 -1.01 -0.2 0.0
4 14:10 2 11 DEN 22 John Elway sacked for -6 yards. John Elway fumbles, recovered by Danny Stubbs and returned for 15 yards 48 10 -0.2 -6.97 0.0
4 13:51 1 1 DEN 1 Roger Craig for 1 yard, touchdown 55 10 6.97 7 0.0
4 13:47


-- 55 10 0 0.67 0.0
4 13:36 1 10 DEN 26 Bobby Humphrey for 6 yards 55 10 0.67 0.94 0.0
4 13:13 2 4 DEN 32 John Elway pass complete to Mel Bratton for 14 yards 55 10 0.94 1.99 0.0
4 12:50 1 10 DEN 46 John Elway for no gain. John Elway fumbles, recovered by John Elway 55 10 1.99 1.32 0.0
4 12:27 2 11 DEN 45 John Elway sacked for -12 yards 55 10 1.32 -0.96 0.0
4 12:04 3 23 DEN 33 Sammy Winder for -5 yards 55 10 -0.96 -1.5 0.0
4 11:41 4 28 DEN 28 Mike Horan punts 43 yards 55 10 -1.5 -1.47 0.0
4 11:13 1 10 SFO 38 Terrence Flagler for no gain 55 10 1.47 0.92 0.0
4 10:47 2 10 SFO 38 Terrence Flagler for -4 yards 55 10 0.92 -0.29 0.0
4 10:21 3 14 SFO 34 Steve Young pass incomplete intended for Wesley Walls 55 10 -0.29 -1.11 0.0
4 9:55 4 14 SFO 34 Barry Helton punts 47 yards 55 10 -1.11 -0.15 0.0
4 9:28 1 10 DEN 19 Bobby Humphrey for -2 yards 55 10 0.15 -0.72 0.0
4 9:07 2 12 DEN 17 Gary Kubiak sacked for -2 yards 55 10 -0.72 -1.76 0.0
4 8:46 3 14 DEN 15 Gary Kubiak pass complete to Ricky Nattiel for 28 yards 55 10 -1.76 1.8 0.0
4 8:25 1 10 DEN 43 Gary Kubiak pass incomplete 55 10 1.8 1.25 0.0
4 8:04 2 10 DEN 43 Gary Kubiak pass incomplete intended for Ricky Nattiel 55 10 1.25 0.56 0.0
4 7:43 3 10 DEN 43 Gary Kubiak sacked for -1 yards 55 10 0.56 -0.59 0.0
4 7:22 4 11 DEN 42 Mike Horan punts 38 yards 55 10 -0.59 -1.07 0.0
4 6:58 1 10 SFO 32 55 10 1.07 0.41 0.0
4 6:21 1 20 SFO 22 Terrence Flagler for 3 yards 55 10 0.41 -0.42 0.0
4 5:44 2 17 SFO 25 Steve Young pass complete to Harry Sydney for 7 yards 55 10 -0.42 -0.16 0.0
4 5:07 3 10 SFO 32 Steve Young pass complete to Mike Sherrard for 13 yards 55 10 -0.16 1.93 0.0
4 4:30 1 10 SFO 45 Terrence Flagler for 4 yards 55 10 1.93 1.92 0.0
4 3:53 2 6 SFO 49 Terrence Flagler for 10 yards 55 10 1.92 2.85 0.0
4 3:16 1 10 DEN 41 Terrence Flagler for 1 yard 55 10 2.85 2.44 0.0
4 2:39 2 9 DEN 40 Harry Sydney for 2 yards 55 10 2.44 2.02 0.0
4 2:00 3 7 DEN 38 Steve Young for 11 yards 55 10 2.02 3.78 0.0
4 1:44 1 10 DEN 27 Steve Young for -2 yards 55 10 3.78 2.96 0.0
4 1:02 2 12 DEN 29 Steve Young for -1 yards 55 10 2.96 2.15 0.0
4 0:25 3 13 DEN 30 Steve Young for -2 yards 55 10 2.15 1.24 0.0

End of Regulation55101.240
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).

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