Monday, January 4, 2016

SUPER BOWL IV: Minnesota Vikings 7 vs. Kansas City Chiefs 23

Sunday, January 11,1970


1234Final
Minnesota Vikings (12-2-0)00707
Kansas City Chiefs (11-3-0)3137023

Game Info
Stadium Tulane Stadium
Roof outdoors
Surface grass
Weather 55 degrees relative humidity 84%, wind 14 mph
Vegas Line Minnesota Vikings -12.0
Over/Under 39.0 (under)
Super Bowl MVP Len Dawson


Win Probability

Pro-Football-Reference.com Win Probability - Minnesota Vikings vs. Kansas City Chiefs, 1/11/1970Q1Q2Q3Q4EOGMIN0.50KAN-8.8%-8.8%+10.6%+10.6%+15.4%+15.4%+9.4%+9.4%
Play IDWin Pct
10.181
20.186
30.167
40.17
50.135
60.142
70.157
80.179
90.192
100.193
110.227
120.225
130.222
140.275
150.235
160.23
170.213
180.276
190.27
200.274
210.322
220.325
230.237
240.249
250.265
260.289
270.297
280.338
290.361
300.368
310.376
320.336
330.415
340.431
350.405
360.367
370.406
380.372
390.391
400.497
410.475
420.429
430.44
440.46
450.482
460.514
470.521
480.568
490.597
500.579
510.562
520.526
530.55
540.704
550.654
560.693
570.774
580.743
590.717
600.801
610.775
620.722
630.743
640.798
650.816
660.834
670.82
680.815
690.864
700.883
710.881
720.878
730.846
740.839
750.857
760.868
770.852
780.848
790.859
800.877
810.887
820.871
830.906
840.9
850.899
860.829
870.855
880.877
890.895
900.864
910.875
920.874
930.86
940.85
950.834
960.812
970.762
980.739
990.748
1000.759
1010.788
1020.793
1030.771
1040.77
1050.832
1060.868
1070.962
1080.946
1090.954
1100.942
1110.948
1120.956
1130.989
1140.982
1150.984
1160.981
1170.986
1180.993
1190.996
1200.984
1210.998
1220.997
1230.998
1240.997
1250.997
1260.997
1270.999
1280.999
1291
1301
1310.999
1321
1331
1341
1351
1361
1371
1381
1391
1401
Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring


Team Stats


Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense

Kick/Punt Returns

Kicking & Punting


Starting Lineups


Full Play-By-Play

Play Times Note  · Glossary  · SHARE  · Embed  · CSV  · Export  · PRE  · LINK  · ?
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail MIN KAN EPB EPA Win%

1st Quarter
1 15:00


Jan Stenerud kicks off 60 yards, touchback 0 0 0 0.28 18.1
1 14:55 1 10 MIN 20 Dave Osborn for 2 yards 0 0 0.28 0 18.6
1 14:26 2 8 MIN 22 Joe Kapp pass complete to Dave Osborn for 10 yards 0 0 0 1.07 16.7
1 13:57 1 10 MIN 32 Bill Brown for 3 yards 0 0 1.07 0.93 17.0
1 13:28 2 7 MIN 35 Joe Kapp pass complete to John Beasley for 26 yards 0 0 0.93 2.98 13.5
1 12:59 1 10 KAN 39 Dave Osborn for 1 yard 0 0 2.98 2.58 14.2
1 12:30 2 9 KAN 38 Joe Kapp pass complete to Bill Brown for -1 yards 0 0 2.58 1.75 15.7
1 12:01 3 10 KAN 39 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for John Beasley 0 0 1.75 0.66 17.9
1 11:32 4 10 KAN 39 Bob Lee punts 22 yards 0 0 0.66 0.06 19.2
1 10:58 1 10 KAN 17 Robert Holmes for 3 yards 0 0 -0.06 -0.06 19.3
1 10:31 2 7 KAN 20 Len Dawson pass complete to Mike Garrett for 17 yards 0 0 -0.06 1.4 22.7
1 10:04 1 10 KAN 37 Robert Holmes for 3 yards 0 0 1.4 1.26 22.5
1 9:37 2 7 KAN 40 Mike Garrett for 4 yards 0 0 1.26 1.09 22.2
1 9:10 3 3 KAN 44 Len Dawson pass complete to Frank Pitts for 20 yards 0 0 1.09 3.18 27.5
1 8:43 1 10 MIN 36 Len Dawson sacked for -8 yards 0 0 3.18 1.56 23.5
1 8:16 2 18 MIN 44 Mike Garrett for 3 yards 0 0 1.56 1.29 23.0
1 7:49 3 15 MIN 41 Len Dawson pass incomplete intended for Mike Garrett 0 0 1.29 0.53 21.3
1 7:22 4 15 MIN 41 Jan Stenerud 48 yard field goal good 0 3 0.53 3 27.6
1 6:52


Jan Stenerud kicks off 60 yards, touchback 0 3 0 0.28 27.0
1 6:47 1 10 MIN 20 Bill Brown for 3 yards 0 3 0.28 0.14 27.4
1 6:21 2 7 MIN 23 Joe Kapp sacked for -6 yards 0 3 0.14 -1.51 32.2
1 5:55 3 13 MIN 17 Bill Brown for 10 yards 0 3 -1.51 -1.57 32.5
1 5:29 4 3 MIN 27 0 3 -1.57 1.73 23.7
1 5:03 1 10 MIN 42 Joe Kapp pass complete to Bill Brown for 1 yard 0 3 1.73 1.32 24.9
1 4:37 2 9 MIN 43 Joe Kapp pass complete to Dave Osborn for 1 yard 0 3 1.32 0.76 26.5
1 4:11 3 8 MIN 44 Joe Kapp pass complete to John Henderson for 6 yards 0 3 0.76 -0.06 28.9
1 3:45 4 2 MIN 50 Bob Lee punts 50 yards, touchback 0 3 -0.06 -0.28 29.7
1 3:18 1 10 KAN 20 Len Dawson pass complete to Frank Pitts for 20 yards 0 3 0.28 1.6 33.8
1 2:39 1 10 KAN 40 Len Dawson pass complete to Otis Taylor for 9 yards 0 3 1.6 2.27 36.1
1 2:00 2 1 KAN 49 Mike Garrett for 3 yards 0 3 2.27 2.39 36.8
1 1:21 1 10 MIN 48 Mike Garrett for 5 yards 0 3 2.39 2.52 37.6
1 0:42 2 5 MIN 43 Robert Holmes for -5 yards 0 3 2.52 1.16 33.6
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail MIN KAN EPB EPA Win%

2nd Quarter
2 15:00 3 10 MIN 48 0 3 1.16 3.51 41.5
2 14:40 1 10 MIN 31 Len Dawson pass complete to Otis Taylor for 7 yards 0 3 3.51 3.91 43.1
2 14:20 2 3 MIN 24 Robert Holmes for -1 yards 0 3 3.91 3.07 40.5
2 14:00 3 4 MIN 25 Len Dawson pass incomplete intended for Otis Taylor 0 3 3.07 1.88 36.7
2 13:40 4 4 MIN 25 Jan Stenerud 32 yard field goal good 0 6 1.88 3 40.6
2 13:20


Jan Stenerud kicks off 47 yards, returned by Charlie West for 19 yards 0 6 0 1.07 37.2
2 13:10 1 10 MIN 32 Dave Osborn for no gain 0 6 1.07 0.53 39.1
2 12:59 2 10 MIN 32 Joe Kapp pass complete to John Henderson for 16 yards. John Henderson fumbles, recovered by Johnny Robinson and returned for 2 yards 0 6 0.53 -2.52 49.7
2 12:48 1 10 MIN 46 Mike Garrett for -1 yards 0 6 2.52 1.84 47.5
2 11:59 2 11 MIN 47 Len Dawson pass incomplete intended for Otis Taylor is intercepted by Paul Krause 0 6 1.84 0.38 42.9
2 11:09 1 10 MIN 7 Dave Osborn for 3 yards 0 6 -0.38 -0.56 44.0
2 10:57 2 7 MIN 10 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for Gene Washington 0 6 -0.56 -1.07 46.0
2 10:45 3 7 MIN 10 0 6 -1.07 -1.65 48.2
2 10:33 3 12 MIN 5 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for Bob Grim 0 6 -1.65 -2.49 51.4
2 10:21 4 12 MIN 5 Bob Lee punts 39 yards 0 6 -2.49 -2.65 52.1
2 10:05 1 10 MIN 44 Frank Pitts for 19 yards 0 6 2.65 3.91 56.8
2 9:43 1 10 MIN 25 0 6 3.91 4.64 59.7
2 9:21 1 5 MIN 20 Len Dawson for no gain 0 6 4.64 4.04 57.9
2 8:59 2 5 MIN 20 Wendell Hayes for 1 yard 0 6 4.04 3.49 56.2
2 8:37 3 4 MIN 19 Wendell Hayes for 2 yards 0 6 3.49 2.44 52.6
2 8:15 4 2 MIN 17 Jan Stenerud 25 yard field goal good 0 9 2.44 3 55.0
2 7:52


Jan Stenerud kicks off 49 yards, returned by Charlie West for no gain. Charlie West fumbles, recovered by Remi Prudhomme 0 9 0 -4.31 70.4
2 7:21 1 10 MIN 19 Len Dawson sacked for -8 yards 0 9 4.31 2.68 65.4
2 7:04 2 18 MIN 27 Wendell Hayes for 13 yards 0 9 2.68 3.76 69.3
2 6:47 3 5 MIN 14 Len Dawson pass complete to Otis Taylor for 10 yards 0 9 3.76 6.28 77.4
2 6:30 1 4 MIN 4 Mike Garrett for -1 yards 0 9 6.28 5.15 74.3
2 6:13 2 5 MIN 5 Len Dawson for no gain 0 9 5.15 4.26 71.7
2 5:56 3 5 MIN 5 Mike Garrett for 5 yards, touchdown 0 16 4.26 7 80.1
2 5:34


Jan Stenerud kicks off 55 yards, returned by Charlie West for 27 yards 0 16 0 1.07 77.5
2 5:19 1 10 MIN 32 Joe Kapp pass complete to John Henderson for 27 yards 0 16 1.07 2.85 72.2
2 4:56 1 10 KAN 41 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for Oscar Reed 0 16 2.85 2.31 74.3
2 4:33 2 10 KAN 41 Joe Kapp sacked for -8 yards 0 16 2.31 0.56 79.8
2 4:10 3 18 KAN 49 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for John Henderson 0 16 0.56 0 81.6
2 3:47 4 18 KAN 49 Fred Cox 56 yard field goal no good 0 16 0 -0.54 83.4
2 3:20 1 10 KAN 24 Warren McVea for -1 yards 0 16 0.54 -0.14 82.0
2 2:40 2 11 KAN 23 Warren McVea for 2 yards 0 16 -0.14 -0.56 81.5
2 2:00 3 9 KAN 25 Warren McVea for 9 yards 0 16 -0.56 1.2 86.4
2 1:33 1 10 KAN 34 Frank Pitts for 11 yards 0 16 1.2 1.93 88.3
2 1:27 1 10 KAN 45 Len Dawson pass complete to Otis Taylor for 3 yards 0 16 1.93 1.79 88.1
2 1:00 2 7 KAN 48 Wendell Hayes for 3 yards 0 16 1.79 1.49 87.8
2 0:49 3 4 MIN 49 Len Dawson pass incomplete intended for Warren McVea 0 16 1.49 0 84.6
2 0:44 4 4 MIN 49 Jerrel Wilson punts 34 yards 0 16 0 -0.32 83.9
2 0:38 4 9 KAN 46 Jerrel Wilson punts 44 yards 0 16 -0.32 0.38 85.7
2 0:23 1 10 MIN 10 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for Gene Washington 0 16 -0.38 -0.78 86.8
2 0:06 2 10 MIN 10 Joe Kapp for 2 yards 0 16 -0.78 -1.19 85.2

End of Half016-1.190
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail MIN KAN EPB EPA Win%

3rd Quarter
3 15:00


Fred Cox kicks off 63 yards, returned by Wendell Hayes for 18 yards 0 16 0 -0.22 84.8
3 14:32 1 10 KAN 15 Warren McVea for 5 yards 0 16 -0.22 0.08 85.9
3 14:00 2 5 KAN 20 Len Dawson pass complete to Otis Taylor for 6 yards 0 16 0.08 0.67 87.7
3 13:28 1 10 KAN 26 Mike Garrett for 6 yards 0 16 0.67 0.94 88.7
3 12:56 2 4 KAN 32 Wendell Hayes for -2 yards 0 16 0.94 -0.03 87.1
3 12:24 3 6 KAN 30 Len Dawson pass complete to Mike Garrett for 8 yards 0 16 -0.03 1.47 90.6
3 11:52 1 10 KAN 38 Len Dawson pass incomplete intended for Gloster Richardson 0 16 1.47 0.92 90.0
3 11:20 2 10 KAN 38 Len Dawson pass complete to Wendell Hayes for 3 yards 0 16 0.92 0.63 89.9
3 10:48 3 7 KAN 41 0 16 0.63 -2.45 82.9
3 10:16 3 29 KAN 19 Mike Garrett for 6 yards 0 16 -2.45 -1.7 85.5
3 9:44 4 23 KAN 25 Jerrel Wilson punts 55 yards 0 16 -1.7 -1 87.7
3 9:06 1 10 MIN 31 Bill Brown for no gain 0 16 1 0.46 89.5
3 8:39 2 10 MIN 31 Joe Kapp pass complete to John Beasley for 15 yards 0 16 0.46 1.99 86.4
3 8:12 1 10 MIN 46 Bill Brown for 2 yards 0 16 1.99 1.72 87.5
3 7:45 2 8 MIN 48 Joe Kapp for 7 yards 0 16 1.72 1.95 87.4
3 7:18 3 1 KAN 45 Dave Osborn for 1 yard 0 16 1.95 2.65 86.0
3 6:51 1 10 KAN 44 Bill Brown for 8 yards 0 16 2.65 3.19 85.0
3 6:24 2 2 KAN 36 Joe Kapp pass complete to Bill Brown for 11 yards 0 16 3.19 3.91 83.4
3 5:57 1 10 KAN 25 Joe Kapp pass complete to John Henderson for 9 yards 0 16 3.91 4.75 81.2
3 5:30 2 1 KAN 16 Joe Kapp pass complete to Oscar Reed for 12 yards 0 16 4.75 6.28 76.2
3 5:03 1 4 KAN 4 Dave Osborn for 4 yards, touchdown 7 16 6.28 7 73.9
3 4:32


Fred Cox kicks off 58 yards, returned by Wendell Hayes for 16 yards 7 16 0 0.04 74.8
3 4:24 1 10 KAN 18 Mike Garrett for 5 yards 7 16 0.04 0.28 75.9
3 4:02 2 5 KAN 23 Wendell Hayes for 6 yards 7 16 0.28 0.87 78.8
3 3:40 1 10 KAN 29 Mike Garrett for 4 yards 7 16 0.87 0.87 79.3
3 3:18 2 6 KAN 33 7 16 0.87 0.19 77.1
3 2:56 2 11 KAN 28 Wendell Hayes for 4 yards 7 16 0.19 0.04 77.0
3 2:34 3 7 KAN 32 Frank Pitts for 7 yards 7 16 0.04 1.53 83.2
3 2:12 1 10 KAN 39 7 16 1.53 2.52 86.8
3 1:50 1 10 MIN 46 Len Dawson pass complete to Otis Taylor for 46 yards, touchdown 7 23 2.52 7 96.2
3 1:22


Jan Stenerud kicks off 56 yards, returned by Clint Jones for 33 yards 7 23 0 1.4 94.6
3 1:09 1 10 MIN 37 Oscar Reed for 1 yard 7 23 1.4 0.99 95.4
3 0:35 2 9 MIN 38 Joe Kapp pass complete to John Henderson for 9 yards 7 23 0.99 2.06 94.2
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail MIN KAN EPB EPA Win%

4th Quarter
4 15:00 1 10 MIN 47 Dave Osborn for 4 yards 7 23 2.06 2.06 94.8
4 14:36 2 6 KAN 49 Oscar Reed for 3 yards 7 23 2.06 1.75 95.6
4 14:12 3 3 KAN 46 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for John Beasley is intercepted by Willie Lanier 7 23 1.75 -1.8 98.9
4 13:48 1 10 KAN 43 Len Dawson pass complete to Frank Pitts for -7 yards 7 23 1.8 0.31 98.2
4 13:14 2 17 KAN 36 Warren McVea for 4 yards 7 23 0.31 0.17 98.4
4 12:40 3 13 KAN 40 Warren McVea for 1 yard 7 23 0.17 -0.65 98.1
4 12:06 4 12 KAN 41 Jerrel Wilson punts 59 yards, touchback 7 23 -0.65 -0.28 98.6
4 11:29 1 10 MIN 20 7 23 0.28 -0.76 99.3
4 11:13 1 20 MIN 10 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for John Henderson 7 23 -0.76 -1.51 99.6
4 10:57 2 20 MIN 10 Joe Kapp pass complete to John Henderson for 28 yards 7 23 -1.51 1.47 98.4
4 10:41 1 10 MIN 38 Joe Kapp pass incomplete intended for John Beasley is intercepted by Johnny Robinson 7 23 1.47 -2.19 99.8
4 10:22 1 10 KAN 49 Warren McVea for -1 yards 7 23 2.19 1.51 99.7
4 9:45 2 11 KAN 48 Warren McVea for 4 yards 7 23 1.51 1.36 99.8
4 9:08 3 7 MIN 48 Warren McVea for no gain 7 23 1.36 0.07 99.7
4 8:31 4 7 MIN 48 Jerrel Wilson punts 36 yards 7 23 0.07 -0.15 99.7
4 7:52 1 10 MIN 19 Joe Kapp pass complete to Gene Washington for 9 yards 7 23 0.15 0.88 99.7
4 7:23 2 1 MIN 28 Oscar Reed for -2 yards 7 23 0.88 -0.16 99.9
4 6:54 3 3 MIN 26 Joe Kapp pass complete to Oscar Reed for 4 yards 7 23 -0.16 0.94 99.9
4 6:25 1 10 MIN 30 Joe Kapp sacked for -13 yards. Joe Kapp fumbles, recovered by Jim Vellone 7 23 0.94 -1.5 99.9
4 5:56 2 23 MIN 17 Oscar Reed for 15 yards 7 23 -1.5 -0.03 99.9
4 5:27 3 8 MIN 32 Gary Cuozzo pass complete to John Henderson for 16 yards 7 23 -0.03 2.13 99.9
4 4:58 1 10 MIN 48 Gary Cuozzo pass incomplete intended for Gene Washington 7 23 2.13 1.58 99.9
4 4:29 2 10 MIN 48 Gary Cuozzo pass incomplete intended for John Henderson is intercepted by Emmitt Thomas 7 23 1.58 -1.2 99.9
4 4:00 1 10 KAN 34 Len Dawson for 11 yards 7 23 1.2 1.93 99.9
4 3:20 1 10 KAN 45 Warren McVea for -1 yards 7 23 1.93 1.25 99.9
4 2:40 2 11 KAN 44 Warren McVea for no gain 7 23 1.25 0.56 99.9
4 2:00 3 11 KAN 44 Len Dawson sacked for -4 yards 7 23 0.56 2.59 99.9
4 1:53 1 10 MIN 45 Warren McVea for 4 yards 7 23 2.59 2.58 99.9
4 1:10 2 6 MIN 41 Wendell Hayes for 4 yards 7 23 2.58 2.41 99.9
4 0:30 3 2 MIN 37 Robert Holmes for 7 yards 7 23 2.41 2.65 99.9

End of Regulation7232.650
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).

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