Wednesday, January 6, 2016

SUPER BOWL XVI: San Francisco 49ers 26 vs. Cincinnati Bengals 21

Sunday, January 24,1982

1234Final
San Francisco 49ers (13-3-0)7130626
Cincinnati Bengals (12-4-0)0071421

Game Info
Stadium Pontiac Silverdome
Start Time (ET) 4:00pm
Roof dome
Surface astroturf
Vegas Line San Francisco 49ers -1.0
Over/Under 48.0 (under)
Super Bowl MVP Joe Montana

Win Probability

Pro-Football-Reference.com Win Probability - San Francisco 49ers vs. Cincinnati Bengals, 1/24/1982Q1Q2Q3Q4EOGSFO0.50CIN-12.6%-12.6%-9.0%-9.0%+9.6%+9.6%+9.5%+9.5%
Play IDWin Pct
10.584
20.601
30.604
40.648
50.624
60.565
70.439
80.431
90.415
100.431
110.416
120.369
130.385
140.347
150.331
160.351
170.266
180.264
190.267
200.265
210.262
220.287
230.283
240.284
250.306
260.289
270.269
280.233
290.266
300.277
310.319
320.301
330.326
340.317
350.32
360.364
370.353
380.324
390.363
400.349
410.259
420.268
430.278
440.219
450.204
460.18
470.179
480.195
490.153
500.137
510.133
520.122
530.085
540.078
550.076
560.08
570.071
580.062
590.057
600.061
610.048
620.048
630.04
640.039
650.044
660.03
670.03
680.028
690.024
700.018
710.021
720.034
730.034
740.006
750.009
760.016
770.016
780.015
790.022
800.02
810.018
820.03
830.03
840.045
850.044
860.039
870.068
880.062
890.089
900.107
910.105
920.101
930.097
940.082
950.061
960.06
970.07
980.078
990.091
1000.088
1010.075
1020.055
1030.039
1040.135
1050.119
1060.091
1070.088
1080.183
1090.159
1100.133
1110.089
1120.035
1130.035
1140.033
1150.055
1160.046
1170.041
1180.056
1190.065
1200.081
1210.063
1220.081
1230.117
1240.138
1250.106
1260.124
1270.146
1280.065
1290.054
1300.038
1310.04
1320.033
1330.019
1340.021
1350.021
1360.032
1370.016
1380.017
1390
1400
1410
1420
1430
1440
1450
1460
1470
1480
1490
1500
1510
1520
1530
1540
1550
Embed this graph...
The win probability graph is intended to be a measure of a team's chance of winning the game after every play of the game, based on the line, current score, and current field position. For a detailed explanation, see Neil's writeup on the Win Probability Model

Scoring

Team Stats


Passing, Rushing, & Receiving

Defense

Kick/Punt Returns

Kicking & Punting

Starting Lineups

Full Play-By-Play

Play Times Note  · Glossary  · SHARE  · Embed  · CSV  · Export  · PRE  · LINK  · ?
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO CIN EPB EPA Win%

1st Quarter
1 15:00


Jim Breech kicks off 56 yards, returned by Amos Lawrence for 17 yards. Amos Lawrence fumbles, recovered by John Simmons 0 0 0 -3.84 58.4
1 14:46 1 10 SFO 26 Ken Anderson pass complete to Isaac Curtis for 8 yards 0 0 3.84 4.45 60.1
1 14:17 2 2 SFO 18 Pete Johnson for 2 yards 0 0 4.45 4.51 60.4
1 13:48 1 10 SFO 16 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 11 yards 0 0 4.51 6.06 64.8
1 13:19 1 5 SFO 5 Charles Alexander for no gain 0 0 6.06 5.15 62.4
1 12:50 2 5 SFO 5 Ken Anderson sacked for -6 yards 0 0 5.15 3.12 56.5
1 12:21 3 11 SFO 11 Ken Anderson pass incomplete intended for Isaac Curtis is intercepted by Dwight Hicks 0 0 3.12 -1.07 43.9
1 11:50 1 10 SFO 32 Joe Montana pass complete to Ricky Patton for 6 yards 0 0 1.07 1.34 43.1
1 11:18 2 4 SFO 38 Joe Montana pass complete to Dwight Clark for 6 yards 0 0 1.34 1.86 41.5
1 10:46 1 10 SFO 44 Earl Cooper for no gain 0 0 1.86 1.32 43.1
1 10:14 2 10 SFO 44 Joe Montana pass complete to Freddie Solomon for 9 yards 0 0 1.32 1.82 41.6
1 9:42 3 1 CIN 47 Joe Montana pass complete to Charle Young for 14 yards 0 0 1.82 3.38 36.9
1 9:10 1 10 CIN 33 Joe Montana pass incomplete 0 0 3.38 2.84 38.5
1 8:38 2 10 CIN 33 Earl Cooper for 11 yards 0 0 2.84 4.11 34.7
1 8:06 1 10 CIN 22 Bill Ring for 7 yards 0 0 4.11 4.65 33.1
1 7:34 2 3 CIN 15 Earl Cooper for no gain 0 0 4.65 3.93 35.1
1 7:02 3 3 CIN 15 Joe Montana pass complete to Freddie Solomon for 14 yards 0 0 3.93 6.97 26.6
1 6:30 1 1 CIN 1 Joe Montana for 1 yard, touchdown 7 0 6.97 7 26.4
1 5:52


Ray Wersching kicks off 60 yards, returned by David Verser for 14 yards 7 0 0 0.15 26.7
1 5:43 1 10 CIN 19 Ken Anderson pass complete to Pete Johnson for 3 yards 7 0 0.15 0.07 26.5
1 5:15 2 7 CIN 22 Ken Anderson pass complete to Pete Johnson for 5 yards 7 0 0.07 -0.03 26.2
1 4:47 3 2 CIN 27 Ken Anderson for 3 yards 7 0 -0.03 0.94 28.7
1 4:19 1 10 CIN 30 Pete Johnson for 3 yards 7 0 0.94 0.8 28.3
1 3:51 2 7 CIN 33 Ken Anderson for 6 yards 7 0 0.8 0.89 28.4
1 3:23 3 1 CIN 39 Pete Johnson for 2 yards 7 0 0.89 1.66 30.6
1 2:55 1 10 CIN 41 Ken Anderson pass incomplete intended for Cris Collinsworth 7 0 1.66 1.12 28.9
1 2:27 2 10 CIN 41 Ken Anderson pass incomplete intended for Cris Collinsworth 7 0 1.12 0.43 26.9
1 1:59 3 10 CIN 41 Ken Anderson sacked for -4 yards 7 0 0.43 -0.91 23.3
1 1:31 4 14 CIN 37 Pat McInally punts 53 yards 7 0 -0.91 0.38 26.6
1 1:01 1 10 SFO 10 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Dwight Clark 7 0 -0.38 -0.78 27.7
1 0:46 2 10 SFO 10 Ricky Patton for -7 yards 7 0 -0.78 -2.24 31.9
1 0:31 3 17 SFO 3 7 0 -2.24 -1.65 30.1
1 0:16 3 12 SFO 8 Ricky Patton for 4 yards 7 0 -1.65 -2.49 32.6
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO CIN EPB EPA Win%

2nd Quarter
2 15:00 4 8 SFO 12 Jim Miller punts 44 yards 7 0 -2.49 -2.19 31.7
2 14:50 1 10 CIN 49 Pete Johnson for 5 yards 7 0 2.19 2.32 32.0
2 14:29 2 5 SFO 46 Ken Anderson pass complete to Cris Collinsworth for 18 yards 7 0 2.32 3.71 36.4
2 14:08 1 10 SFO 28 7 0 3.71 3.38 35.3
2 13:47 1 15 SFO 33 Ken Anderson pass incomplete intended for Dan Ross 7 0 3.38 2.49 32.4
2 13:26 2 15 SFO 33 7 0 2.49 3.71 36.3
2 13:05 1 10 SFO 28 Charles Alexander for 1 yard 7 0 3.71 3.3 34.9
2 12:44 2 9 SFO 27 Ken Anderson pass complete to Cris Collinsworth for 19 yards. Cris Collinsworth fumbles, recovered by Lynn Thomas 7 0 3.3 0.38 25.9
2 12:22 1 10 SFO 8 Johnny Davis for 1 yard 7 0 -0.38 -0.71 26.8
2 11:55 2 9 SFO 9 Bill Ring for 2 yards 7 0 -0.71 -1.07 27.8
2 11:28 3 7 SFO 11 Joe Montana pass complete to Freddie Solomon for 20 yards 7 0 -1.07 1 21.9
2 11:01 1 10 SFO 31 Joe Montana for 8 yards 7 0 1 1.54 20.4
2 10:34 2 2 SFO 39 Earl Cooper for 14 yards 7 0 1.54 2.46 18.0
2 10:07 1 10 CIN 47 Ricky Patton for 4 yards 7 0 2.46 2.45 17.9
2 9:40 2 6 CIN 43 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Freddie Solomon 7 0 2.45 1.75 19.5
2 9:13 3 6 CIN 43 Joe Montana pass complete to Dwight Clark for 12 yards 7 0 1.75 3.51 15.3
2 8:46 1 10 CIN 31 Ricky Patton for 9 yards 7 0 3.51 4.18 13.7
2 8:19 2 1 CIN 22 Ricky Patton for 3 yards 7 0 4.18 4.31 13.3
2 7:52 1 10 CIN 19 Dwight Clark for -2 yards 7 0 4.31 4.84 12.2
2 7:25 1 10 CIN 11 Joe Montana pass complete to Earl Cooper for 11 yards, touchdown 14 0 4.84 7 8.5
2 6:53


Ray Wersching kicks off 60 yards, returned by David Verser for 1 yard 14 0 0 -0.38 7.8
2 6:42 1 10 CIN 2 Pete Johnson for 4 yards 14 0 -0.38 -0.49 7.6
2 6:17 2 6 CIN 6 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 10 yards 14 0 -0.49 -0.14 8.0
2 5:52 1 10 CIN 16 Ken Anderson pass incomplete intended for Isaac Curtis 14 0 -0.14 -0.66 7.1
2 5:27 2 10 CIN 16 Ken Anderson pass incomplete intended for Dan Ross 14 0 -0.66 -1.32 6.2
2 5:02 3 10 CIN 16 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 9 yards 14 0 -1.32 -1.7 5.7
2 4:37 4 1 CIN 25 Pat McInally punts 47 yards 14 0 -1.7 -1.2 6.1
2 4:11 1 10 SFO 34 Joe Montana pass complete to Dwight Clark for 17 yards 14 0 1.2 2.32 4.8
2 3:38 1 10 CIN 49 Ricky Patton for 3 yards 14 0 2.32 2.19 4.8
2 3:05 2 7 CIN 46 Ricky Patton for 7 yards 14 0 2.19 2.98 4.0
2 2:32 1 10 CIN 39 Joe Montana pass complete to Earl Cooper for 4 yards 14 0 2.98 2.98 3.9
2 1:57 2 6 CIN 35 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Charle Young 14 0 2.98 2.28 4.4
2 1:51 3 6 CIN 35 Joe Montana pass complete to Dwight Clark for 10 yards 14 0 2.28 3.91 3.0
2 1:11 1 10 CIN 25 Ricky Patton for 3 yards 14 0 3.91 3.77 3.0
2 1:06 2 7 CIN 22 Earl Cooper for 6 yards 14 0 3.77 4.06 2.8
2 0:54 3 1 CIN 16 Joe Montana for 2 yards 14 0 4.06 4.65 2.4
2 0:32 1 10 CIN 14 Joe Montana pass complete to Freddie Solomon for 9 yards 14 0 4.65 5.67 1.8
2 0:29 2 1 CIN 5 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Dwight Clark 14 0 5.67 4.96 2.1
2 0:23 3 1 CIN 5 Joe Montana pass incomplete 14 0 4.96 3.03 3.4
2 0:18 4 1 CIN 5 Ray Wersching 22 yard field goal good 17 0 3.03 3 3.4
2 0:15


Ray Wersching kicks off 50 yards, returned by Archie Griffin for no gain. Archie Griffin fumbles, recovered by Milt McColl 17 0 0 -6.28 0.6
2 0:05 1 4 CIN 4 17 0 6.28 5.14 0.9
2 0:05 1 9 CIN 9 Ray Wersching 26 yard field goal good 20 0 5.14 3 1.6
2 0:02


Ray Wersching kicks off 37 yards, returned by Guy Frazier for no gain 20 0 0 0.81 1.6

End of Half2000.810
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO CIN EPB EPA Win%

3rd Quarter
3 15:00


Ray Wersching kicks off 64 yards, returned by David Verser for 16 yards 20 0 0 -0.06 1.5
3 14:52 1 10 CIN 17 Charles Alexander for 13 yards 20 0 -0.06 1.27 2.2
3 14:29 1 10 CIN 35 Pete Johnson for 3 yards 20 0 1.27 1.13 2.0
3 14:06 2 7 CIN 38 Ken Anderson pass complete to Charles Alexander for 3 yards 20 0 1.13 0.83 1.8
3 13:43 3 4 CIN 41 Ken Anderson pass complete to Steve Kreider for 19 yards 20 0 0.83 2.92 3.0
3 13:20 1 10 SFO 40 Pete Johnson for 5 yards 20 0 2.92 3.05 3.0
3 12:57 2 5 SFO 35 Ken Anderson pass complete to Isaac Curtis for 13 yards 20 0 3.05 4.84 4.5
3 12:34 1 10 SFO 11 Archie Griffin for 4 yards 20 0 4.84 4.89 4.4
3 12:11 2 6 SFO 7 Pete Johnson for 2 yards 20 0 4.89 4.44 3.9
3 11:48 3 4 SFO 5 Ken Anderson for 5 yards, touchdown 20 7 4.44 -7 6.8
3 11:25


20 7 0 0.28 6.2
3 11:13 1 10 SFO 20 Joe Montana sacked for -9 yards 20 7 0.28 -1.44 8.9
3 10:49 2 19 SFO 11 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Freddie Solomon 20 7 -1.44 -2.47 10.7
3 10:25 3 19 SFO 11 Ricky Patton for 4 yards 20 7 -2.47 -2.44 10.5
3 10:01 4 15 SFO 15 Jim Miller punts 47 yards 20 7 -2.44 -2.32 10.1
3 9:35 1 10 SFO 49 Pete Johnson for 3 yards 20 7 2.32 2.19 9.7
3 9:20 2 7 SFO 46 Ken Anderson pass incomplete intended for Cris Collinsworth 20 7 2.19 1.49 8.2
3 9:05 3 7 SFO 46 Ken Anderson sacked for 0 yards 20 7 1.49 0.2 6.1
3 8:50 4 7 SFO 46 Pat McInally punts 31 yards 20 7 0.2 0.22 6.0
3 8:34 1 10 SFO 15 Earl Cooper for -2 yards 20 7 -0.22 -0.92 7.0
3 8:09 2 12 SFO 13 Bill Ring for 1 yard 20 7 -0.92 -1.51 7.8
3 7:44 3 11 SFO 14 Joe Montana pass complete to Bill Ring for 3 yards 20 7 -1.51 -2.32 9.1
3 7:19 4 8 SFO 17 Jim Miller punts 50 yards 20 7 -2.32 -2.26 8.8
3 6:53 1 10 CIN 50 Ken Anderson for 1 yard 20 7 2.26 1.66 7.5
3 6:25 1 19 CIN 41 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 15 yards 20 7 1.66 0.5 5.5
3 5:57 2 19 CIN 41 Ken Anderson sacked for -4 yards 20 7 0.5 -0.69 3.9
3 5:29 3 23 CIN 37 Ken Anderson pass complete to Cris Collinsworth for 49 yards 20 7 -0.69 4.65 13.5
3 5:01 1 10 SFO 14 Charles Alexander for 1 yard 20 7 4.65 4.16 11.9
3 4:33 2 9 SFO 13 Ken Anderson sacked for -2 yards 20 7 4.16 3.06 9.1
3 4:05 3 11 SFO 15 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 10 yards 20 7 3.06 3.03 8.8
3 3:37 4 1 SFO 5 Pete Johnson for 2 yards 20 7 3.03 6.51 18.3
3 3:09 1 3 SFO 3 Pete Johnson for 2 yards 20 7 6.51 5.91 15.9
3 2:41 2 1 SFO 1 Pete Johnson for no gain 20 7 5.91 5.17 13.3
3 2:13 3 1 SFO 1 Ken Anderson pass complete to Charles Alexander for no gain 20 7 5.17 3.55 8.9
3 1:45 4 1 SFO 1 Pete Johnson for no gain 20 7 3.55 0.38 3.5
3 1:17 1 10 SFO 1 Bill Ring for 3 yards 20 7 -0.38 -0.56 3.5
3 0:39 2 7 SFO 4 Bill Ring for 4 yards 20 7 -0.56 -0.6 3.3
Quarter Time Down ToGo Location Detail SFO CIN EPB EPA Win%

4th Quarter
4 15:00 3 3 SFO 8 Earl Cooper for 1 yard 20 7 -0.6 -2.49 5.5
4 14:29 4 2 SFO 9 Jim Miller punts 44 yards 20 7 -2.49 -2.06 4.6
4 13:58 1 10 CIN 47 Pete Johnson for 3 yards 20 7 2.06 1.92 4.1
4 13:29 2 7 CIN 50 Ken Anderson pass complete to Cris Collinsworth for 12 yards 20 7 1.92 3.05 5.6
4 13:00 1 10 SFO 38 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 9 yards 20 7 3.05 3.72 6.5
4 12:31 2 1 SFO 29 20 7 3.72 4.58 8.1
4 12:02 1 10 SFO 15 Ken Anderson pass incomplete 20 7 4.58 3.95 6.3
4 11:33 2 10 SFO 15 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 9 yards 20 7 3.95 4.9 8.1
4 11:04 3 1 SFO 6 Charles Alexander for 2 yards 20 7 4.9 6.28 11.7
4 10:35 1 4 SFO 4 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 4 yards, touchdown 20 14 6.28 7 13.8
4 10:06


Jim Breech kicks off 61 yards, returned by Dwight Hicks for 23 yards 20 14 0 0.74 10.6
4 9:57 1 10 SFO 27 Joe Montana pass incomplete intended for Ricky Patton 20 14 0.74 0.2 12.4
4 9:35 2 10 SFO 27 20 14 0.2 -0.48 14.6
4 9:13 2 15 SFO 22 Joe Montana pass complete to Mike Wilson for 22 yards 20 14 -0.48 1.86 6.5
4 8:51 1 10 SFO 44 20 14 1.86 2.19 5.4
4 8:29 1 10 SFO 49 Ricky Patton for 10 yards 20 14 2.19 2.85 3.8
4 8:07 1 10 CIN 41 Ricky Patton for 2 yards 20 14 2.85 2.58 4.0
4 7:45 2 8 CIN 39 Ricky Patton for 7 yards 20 14 2.58 2.81 3.3
4 7:23 3 1 CIN 32 Joe Montana for 4 yards 20 14 2.81 3.71 1.9
4 7:01 1 10 CIN 28 Earl Cooper for 1 yard 20 14 3.71 3.3 2.1
4 6:39 2 9 CIN 27 Ricky Patton for 3 yards 20 14 3.3 3.01 2.1
4 6:17 3 6 CIN 24 Ricky Patton for 1 yard 20 14 3.01 1.98 3.2
4 5:55 4 5 CIN 23 Ray Wersching 40 yard field goal good 23 14 1.98 3 1.6
4 5:25


Ray Wersching kicks off 51 yards, returned by David Verser for 8 yards 23 14 0 0.41 1.7
4 5:14 1 10 CIN 22 Ken Anderson pass incomplete intended for Cris Collinsworth is intercepted by Eric Wright. Eric Wright fumbles, recovered by Willie Harper 23 14 0.41 -4.11 0.0
4 4:57 1 10 CIN 22 Ricky Patton for 4 yards 23 14 4.11 4.13 0.0
4 4:28 2 6 CIN 18 Earl Cooper for 3 yards 23 14 4.13 3.93 0.0
4 3:59 3 3 CIN 15 Johnny Davis for 4 yards 23 14 3.93 4.84 0.0
4 3:30 1 10 CIN 11 Ricky Patton for 4 yards 23 14 4.84 4.89 0.0
4 3:01 2 6 CIN 7 Ricky Patton for -6 yards 23 14 4.89 3.08 0.0
4 2:32 3 12 CIN 13 Joe Montana for 7 yards 23 14 3.08 2.99 0.0
4 2:00 4 5 CIN 6 Ray Wersching 23 yard field goal good 26 14 2.99 3 0.0
4 1:57


Ray Wersching kicks off 54 yards, returned by David Verser for 15 yards 26 14 0 0.67 0.0
4 1:51 1 10 CIN 26 Ken Anderson pass complete to Isaac Curtis for 21 yards 26 14 0.67 2.06 0.0
4 1:26 1 10 CIN 47 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 16 yards 26 14 2.06 3.12 0.0
4 1:00 1 10 SFO 37 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 8 yards 26 14 3.12 3.65 0.0
4 0:40 2 2 SFO 29 Ken Anderson pass complete to Cris Collinsworth for 9 yards 26 14 3.65 4.24 0.0
4 0:25 1 10 SFO 20 Ken Anderson pass complete to Steve Kreider for 17 yards 26 14 4.24 6.51 0.0
4 0:20 1 3 SFO 3 Ken Anderson pass complete to Dan Ross for 3 yards, touchdown 26 21 6.51 7 0.0
4 0:16


Jim Breech kicks off 17 yards, returned by Dwight Clark for no gain 26 21 0 2.13 0.0
4 0:14 1 10 SFO 48 Joe Montana for -4 yards 26 21 2.13 1.04 0.0

End of Regulation26211.040
Scoring plays are highlighted in green and accepted penalties are highlighted in gray, while changes of possession are denoted by a bold line. Expected points before and after are relative to the team possessing the ball at the start of the play (though kickoffs are assumed to be in possession of the receiving team).

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